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Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Maryland in the 2026 midterms. Maryland's governor race: Wes Moore (Democrat) leads at 96.7% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 7 and Republicans in 1 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Wes Moore 96.7% | Dan Cox 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $23.4K | race page |
| House MD-01 | Dan Schwartz 10.5% | Andy Harris 89.5% | Likely Republican | $63.6K | race page |
| House MD-02 | Johnny Olszewski 94.5% | Dave Wallace 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $24.6K | race page |
| House MD-03 | Sarah Elfreth 95.5% | Berney Flowers 2.4% | Safe Democrat | $53.1K | race page |
| House MD-04 | Glenn Ivey 97.5% | George McDermott 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $47.8K | race page |
| House MD-05 | Adrian Boafo 96.2% | Chris Chaffee 2.9% | Safe Democrat | $24.3K | race page |
| House MD-06 | April McClain Delaney 95.8% | Robin Ficker 3.0% | Safe Democrat | $35.0K | race page |
| House MD-07 | Kweisi Mfume 96.2% | Scott Collier 3.0% | Safe Democrat | $24.5K | race page |
| House MD-08 | Jamie Raskin 97% | Cheryl Riley 2.6% | Safe Democrat | $28.0K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 96.9% / Republican 2.6% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Maryland 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/maryland/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Maryland in the 2026 midterms. Maryland's governor race: Wes Moore (Democrat) leads at 96.7% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 7 and Republicans in 1 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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