Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Indiana
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Indiana in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 7 of 9 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House IN-01 | Frank Mrvan 98% | Barb Regnitz 0.5% | Safe Democrat | $22.6K | race page |
| House IN-02 | Jamee Decio 3.5% | Rudy Yakym 96.6% | Safe Republican | $33.4K | race page |
| House IN-03 | Kelly Thompson 5.5% | Marlin Stutzman 94.9% | Likely Republican | $26.6K | race page |
| House IN-04 | Drew Cox 5.5% | Jim Baird 94.5% | Likely Republican | $25.8K | race page |
| House IN-05 | J. D. Ford 14.5% | Victoria Spartz 83.5% | Likely Republican | $29.3K | race page |
| House IN-06 | Cinde Wirth 4.5% | Jefferson Shreve 95% | Safe Republican | $37.5K | race page |
| House IN-07 | André Carson 97.2% | Patrick McAuley 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $45.7K | race page |
| House IN-08 | Mary Allen 3.1% | Mark Messmer 96.3% | Safe Republican | $42.5K | race page |
| House IN-09 | Brad Meyer 4.5% | Erin Houchin 95% | Safe Republican | $32.7K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Indiana 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/indiana/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Indiana in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 7 of 9 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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