Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Missouri
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 6 of 8 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House MO-01 | Wesley Bell 98% | Paul Berry 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $36.8K | race page |
| House MO-02 | Fred Wellman 26.5% | Ann Wagner 73.5% | Lean Republican | $46.4K | race page |
| House MO-03 | Bethany Mann 2.3% | Bob Onder 96.1% | Safe Republican | $41.8K | race page |
| House MO-04 | Jordan Herrera 5.5% | Mark Alford 92.5% | Likely Republican | $52.7K | race page |
| House MO-05 | Emanuel Cleaver 96% | Rick Brattin 3.6% | Safe Democrat | $78.7K | race page |
| House MO-06 | Josh Smead 4.5% | Chris Stigall 95% | Safe Republican | $53.9K | race page |
| House MO-07 | Missi Hesketh 3.1% | Eric Burlison 96.2% | Safe Republican | $38.3K | race page |
| House MO-08 | Chris Reichard 2.4% | Jason Smith 96.4% | Safe Republican | $46.1K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Missouri 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/missouri/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Missouri in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 6 of 8 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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