Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New York
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New York in the 2026 midterms. New York's governor race: Kathy Hochul (Democrat) leads at 96% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 20 and Republicans in 6 of 26 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Kathy Hochul 96% | Bruce Blakeman 4.0% | Safe Democrat | $162.8K | race page |
| House NY-01 | Chris Gallant 19.5% | Nick LaLota 78.5% | Lean Republican | $49.2K | race page |
| House NY-02 | Patrick Halpin 13% | Andrew Garbarino 86% | Likely Republican | $18.4K | race page |
| House NY-03 | Tom Suozzi 87% | Mike LiPetri 12.5% | Likely Democrat | $39.2K | race page |
| House NY-04 | Laura Gillen 90% | Jeanine Driscoll 9.5% | Likely Democrat | $14.4K | race page |
| House NY-05 | Gregory Meeks 96.9% | George Marsh 1.5% | Safe Democrat | $64.2K | race page |
| House NY-06 | Grace Meng 97.2% | Joseph Chou 0.1% | Safe Democrat | $27.5K | race page |
| House NY-07 | Claire Valdez 96.8% | Melvin Rivera 0.8% | Safe Democrat | $31.2K | race page |
| House NY-08 | Hakeem Jeffries 96.9% | Lewis Mizrahi 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $32.7K | race page |
| House NY-09 | Yvette Clarke 95.5% | Joel Anabilah-Azumah 1.5% | Safe Democrat | $61.3K | race page |
| House NY-10 | Brad Lander 98.2% | Jennifer Moore 0.2% | Safe Democrat | $54.1K | race page |
| House NY-11 | Michael DeCillis 4.5% | Nicole Malliotakis 94.8% | Likely Republican | $34.5K | race page |
| House NY-12 | Micah Lasher 97.6% | Caroline Shinkle 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $34.1K | race page |
| House NY-13 | Darializa Avila Chevalier 97.2% | Jomo Williams 2.3% | Safe Democrat | $39.9K | race page |
| House NY-14 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 96.5% | Diamant Hysenaj 3.4% | Safe Democrat | $55.6K | race page |
| House NY-15 | Ritchie Torres 98.2% | Stylo Sapaskis 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $48.0K | race page |
| House NY-16 | George Latimer 95.7% | Joseph Cinquemani 3.4% | Safe Democrat | $41.7K | race page |
| House NY-17 | Cait Conley 63.5% | Mike Lawler 36.5% | Lean Democrat | $47.0K | race page |
| House NY-18 | Pat Ryan 94.8% | Jacqueline Auringer 5.3% | Likely Democrat | $44.6K | race page |
| House NY-19 | Josh Riley 98.8% | Peter Oberacker 0.1% | Safe Democrat | $33.8K | race page |
| House NY-20 | Paul Tonko 97.4% | Ralph Ambrosio 2.7% | Safe Democrat | $46.8K | race page |
| House NY-21 | Blake Gendebien 17.5% | Anthony Constantino 82% | Likely Republican | $73.2K | race page |
| House NY-22 | John Mannion 93.5% | Kailee Buller 5.5% | Likely Democrat | $24.3K | race page |
| House NY-23 | Aaron Gies 4.8% | Nick Langworthy 94.8% | Likely Republican | $33.3K | race page |
| House NY-24 | Alissa Ellman 4.1% | Claudia Tenney 94.5% | Likely Republican | $24.1K | race page |
| House NY-25 | Joseph Morelle 97.4% | Virginia McIntyre 1.9% | Safe Democrat | $41.6K | race page |
| House NY-26 | Tim Kennedy 96.5% | Dennis Hannon 3.0% | Safe Democrat | $42.6K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 95.4% / Republican 4.9% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “New York 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/new-york/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for New York in the 2026 midterms. New York's governor race: Kathy Hochul (Democrat) leads at 96% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 20 and Republicans in 6 of 26 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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