Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Connecticut
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Connecticut in the 2026 midterms. Connecticut's governor race: Ned Lamont (Democrat) leads at 96.5% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 0 of 5 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Ned Lamont 96.5% | Ryan Fazio 2.5% | Safe Democrat | $9.4K | race page |
| House CT-01 | Luke Bronin 96.2% | Amy Chai 3.5% | Safe Democrat | $12.5K | race page |
| House CT-02 | Joe Courtney 96.7% | George Austin 2.9% | Safe Democrat | $18.8K | race page |
| House CT-03 | Rosa DeLauro 96.4% | Chris Lancia 4.0% | Safe Democrat | $30.8K | race page |
| House CT-04 | Jim Himes 96.1% | Michael Goldstein 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $48.6K | race page |
| House CT-05 | Jahana Hayes 94.8% | Chris Shea 4.5% | Likely Democrat | $9.1K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Governor: Democrat 97% / Republican 3.7% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Connecticut 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/connecticut/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Connecticut in the 2026 midterms. Connecticut's governor race: Ned Lamont (Democrat) leads at 96.5% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 0 of 5 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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