Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Washington
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Washington in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 8 and Republicans in 2 of 10 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House WA-01 | Suzan DelBene 96.9% | Mary Silva 2.2% | Safe Democrat | $46.3K | race page |
| House WA-02 | Rick Larsen 95.7% | Edwin Feller 3.0% | Safe Democrat | $32.5K | race page |
| House WA-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 89.5% | John Braun 10.5% | Likely Democrat | $40.3K | race page |
| House WA-04 | John Duresky 6.5% | Amanda McKinney 92.5% | Likely Republican | $57.9K | race page |
| House WA-05 | Carmela Conroy 18.1% | Michael Baumgartner 80.5% | Likely Republican | $58.0K | race page |
| House WA-06 | Emily Randall 98.8% | Teresa Fox 1.1% | Safe Democrat | $45.0K | race page |
| House WA-07 | Pramila Jayapal 97.5% | Nirav Sheth 2.0% | Safe Democrat | $34.6K | race page |
| House WA-08 | Kim Schrier 97.5% | Spencer Meline 0.4% | Safe Democrat | $28.9K | race page |
| House WA-09 | Adam Smith 96.7% | Doug Basler 2.4% | Safe Democrat | $55.5K | race page |
| House WA-10 | Marilyn Strickland 96.6% | Chris Chung 2.4% | Safe Democrat | $37.0K | race page |
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Washington 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/washington/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Washington in the 2026 midterms. House: Democrats favoured in 8 and Republicans in 2 of 10 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, any party or campaign.