Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › New Hampshire
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterms. New Hampshire's Senate race: Chris Pappas (Democrat) leads at 86.5% (Likely Democrat). New Hampshire's governor race: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leads at 95.5% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Chris Pappas 86.5% | John E. Sununu 13.5% | Likely Democrat | $308.8K | race page |
| Governor | Cinde Warmington 4.9% | Kelly Ayotte 95.5% | Safe Republican | $41.1K | race page |
| House NH-01 | Stefany Shaheen 94.2% | Anthony DiLorenzo 3.4% | Likely Democrat | $48.7K | race page |
| House NH-02 | Maggie Goodlander 94% | Lily Tang Williams 4.7% | Likely Democrat | $20.4K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 88% / Republican 12.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “New Hampshire 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/new-hampshire/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterms. New Hampshire's Senate race: Chris Pappas (Democrat) leads at 86.5% (Likely Democrat). New Hampshire's governor race: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leads at 95.5% (Safe Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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