Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Georgia

Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket

Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 96.2% (Safe Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leads at 49.5% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

RaceDemocratRepublicanRatingVolume
SenateJon Ossoff 96.2%Mike Collins 3.2%Safe Democrat$206.5Krace page
GovernorKeisha Lance Bottoms 49.5%Rick Jackson 49.5%Toss-up$154.4Krace page
House GA-01Amanda Hollowell 10.5%Jim Kingston 89%Likely Republican$21.4Krace page
House GA-02Sanford Bishop 94%Matt Day 6.0%Likely Democrat$27.2Krace page
House GA-03Maura Keller 4.5%Brian Jack 96%Safe Republican$26.7Krace page
House GA-04Hank Johnson 98%James Duffie 1.8%Safe Democrat$48.2Krace page
House GA-05Nikema Williams 98.8%John Oscar Salvesen <0.1%Safe Democrat$53.7Krace page
House GA-06Lucy McBath 95.2%Kevin Martin 3.6%Safe Democrat$23.9Krace page
House GA-07Tony Kozycki 6.5%Rich McCormick 93.5%Likely Republican$41.1Krace page
House GA-08Kelly Esti 5.0%Austin Scott 95%Safe Republican$50.1Krace page
House GA-09Caitlyn Gegen 4.5%Andrew Clyde 95.5%Safe Republican$26.3Krace page
House GA-10Pam Delancy 0.6%Houston Gaines 96.9%Safe Republican$41.3Krace page
House GA-11Chris Harden 2.4%John Cowan 97.5%Safe Republican$57.9Krace page
House GA-12Ceretta Smith 7.5%Rick Allen 91.5%Likely Republican$50.9Krace page
House GA-13Jasmine Clark 97%Jonathan Chavez 2.7%Safe Democrat$39.5Krace page
House GA-14Shawn Harris 3.9%Clay Fuller 96.2%Safe Republican$19.2Krace page

Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 96.2% / Republican 3.8% · Governor: Democrat 47.5% / Republican 53.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).

Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.

National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast

On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).

Cite this data

Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Georgia 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/georgia/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured in Georgia's 2026 elections?

Polymarket odds for Georgia in the 2026 midterms. Georgia's Senate race: Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leads at 96.2% (Safe Democrat). Georgia's governor race: Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leads at 49.5% (Toss-up). House: Democrats favoured in 5 and Republicans in 9 of 14 districts with a market.

How are the ratings set?

From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.

Other states

Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · Florida · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · Nevada · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket, any party or campaign.