Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Louisiana
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Louisiana in the 2026 midterms. Louisiana's Senate race: Julia Letlow (Republican) leads at 93% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 5 of 6 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Jamie Davis 6.0% | Julia Letlow 93% | Likely Republican | $48.4K | race page |
| House LA-01 | Democrat 3.9% | Republican 96.2% | Safe Republican | $52.5K | race page |
| House LA-02 | Democrat 97.9% | Republican 1.4% | Safe Democrat | $62.1K | race page |
| House LA-03 | Democrat 3.5% | Republican 95.5% | Safe Republican | $35.5K | race page |
| House LA-04 | Democrat 5.1% | Republican 94.5% | Likely Republican | $18.3K | race page |
| House LA-05 | Democrat 5.8% | Republican 92.8% | Likely Republican | $24.8K | race page |
| House LA-06 | Democrat 6.5% | Republican 91.5% | Likely Republican | $74.9K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 3.6% / Republican 96.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Louisiana 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/louisiana/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Louisiana in the 2026 midterms. Louisiana's Senate race: Julia Letlow (Republican) leads at 93% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 5 of 6 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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