Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Rhode Island
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Rhode Island in the 2026 midterms. Rhode Island's Senate race: Jack Reed (Democrat) leads at 99.3% (Safe Democrat). Rhode Island's governor race: Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leads at 97% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Jack Reed 99.3% | Raymond McKay 0.8% | Safe Democrat | $26.6K | race page |
| Governor | Helena Foulkes 97% | Republican 1.9% | Safe Democrat | $70.1K | race page |
| House RI-01 | Gabe Amo 97% | Kellie Keenan 1.7% | Safe Democrat | $43.3K | race page |
| House RI-02 | Seth Magaziner 96.7% | Victor Mellor 1.5% | Safe Democrat | $48.4K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 99% / Republican 0.9% · Governor: Democrat 97% / Republican 1.2% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Rhode Island 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/rhode-island/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Rhode Island in the 2026 midterms. Rhode Island's Senate race: Jack Reed (Democrat) leads at 99.3% (Safe Democrat). Rhode Island's governor race: Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leads at 97% (Safe Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 2 and Republicans in 0 of 2 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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