Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Ohio
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Ohio in the 2026 midterms. Ohio's Senate race: Sherrod Brown (Democrat) leads at 61.5% (Lean Democrat). Ohio's governor race: Amy Acton (Democrat) leads at 67.5% (Lean Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 6 and Republicans in 9 of 15 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Sherrod Brown 61.5% | Jon Husted 38.5% | Lean Democrat | $1.05M | race page |
| Governor | Amy Acton 67.5% | Vivek Ramaswamy 32.5% | Lean Democrat | $285.1K | race page |
| House OH-01 | Greg Landsman 87.2% | Eric Conroy 10.8% | Likely Democrat | $41.1K | race page |
| House OH-02 | Jennifer Mazzuckelli 1.6% | David Taylor 97.4% | Safe Republican | $60.8K | race page |
| House OH-03 | Joyce Beatty 96.6% | Cleophus Dulaney 2.1% | Safe Democrat | $58.8K | race page |
| House OH-04 | Joshua Kolasinski 4.5% | Jim Jordan 95.5% | Safe Republican | $23.4K | race page |
| House OH-05 | Brian Shaver 4.5% | Bob Latta 95.5% | Safe Republican | $53.3K | race page |
| House OH-06 | Elizabeth Kirtley 5.5% | Michael Rulli 95% | Safe Republican | $77.5K | race page |
| House OH-07 | Brian Poindexter 80.5% | Max Miller 19% | Likely Democrat | $87.8K | race page |
| House OH-08 | Vanessa Enoch 9.5% | Warren Davidson 91.5% | Likely Republican | $14.8K | race page |
| House OH-09 | Marcy Kaptur 69% | Derek Merrin 30.5% | Lean Democrat | $37.4K | race page |
| House OH-10 | Kristina Knickerbocker 15.5% | Mike Turner 84.5% | Likely Republican | $50.5K | race page |
| House OH-11 | Shontel Brown 98.1% | Mike Kirchner 0.8% | Safe Democrat | $38.4K | race page |
| House OH-12 | Jerrad Christian 4.7% | Troy Balderson 94.5% | Likely Republican | $39.2K | race page |
| House OH-13 | Emilia Sykes 98.2% | Carey Coleman 0.9% | Safe Democrat | $41.5K | race page |
| House OH-14 | Maria Jukic 3.2% | David Joyce 96.4% | Safe Republican | $44.0K | race page |
| House OH-15 | Don Leonard 24.5% | Mike Carey 74.5% | Lean Republican | $16.4K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 63.5% / Republican 35.5% · Governor: Democrat 65.5% / Republican 34.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Ohio 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/ohio/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Ohio in the 2026 midterms. Ohio's Senate race: Sherrod Brown (Democrat) leads at 61.5% (Lean Democrat). Ohio's governor race: Amy Acton (Democrat) leads at 67.5% (Lean Democrat). House: Democrats favoured in 6 and Republicans in 9 of 15 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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