Home › 2026 Midterms › By state › Nebraska
Updated October 6, 2026 at 13:29 UTC · refreshed twice a day · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Polymarket odds for Nebraska in the 2026 midterms. Nebraska's Senate race: Pete Ricketts (Republican) leads at 73.5% (Lean Republican). Nebraska's governor race: Jim Pillen (Republican) leads at 89% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 2 of 3 districts with a market.
| Race | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Democrat 0.1% | Pete Ricketts 73.5% | Lean Republican | $496.5K | race page |
| Governor | Lynne Walz 9.5% | Jim Pillen 89% | Likely Republican | $19.7K | race page |
| House NE-01 | Chris Backemeyer 13.5% | Mike Flood 86% | Likely Republican | $43.6K | race page |
| House NE-02 | Denise Powell 91.5% | Brinker Harding 7.3% | Likely Democrat | $47.3K | race page |
| House NE-03 | Becky Stille 1.7% | Adrian Smith 96.4% | Safe Republican | $15.9K | race page |
Same races on Kalshi: Senate: Democrat 0.8% / Republican 71.5% · Governor: Democrat 10.3% / Republican 89.5% (midpoint of bid and ask).
Ratings from the favorite's price: safe 95%+, likely 80–95%, lean 60–80%, toss-up below 60%. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not polls. Educational information, not betting advice.
National picture: 2026 midterm forecast · Senate forecast · House forecast · Governor forecast
On November 3: election night guide (when polls close, how these markets resolve, what moves the odds).
Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.
Polymarket View, “Nebraska 2026 election odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-elections/nebraska/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket odds for Nebraska in the 2026 midterms. Nebraska's Senate race: Pete Ricketts (Republican) leads at 73.5% (Lean Republican). Nebraska's governor race: Jim Pillen (Republican) leads at 89% (Likely Republican). House: Democrats favoured in 1 and Republicans in 2 of 3 districts with a market.
From the favourite's price in each race's Polymarket winner market: 95% or more is safe, 80–95% likely, 60–80% lean and below 60% a toss-up. Market prices, not polls.
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