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Gavin Newsom odds on Polymarket

Updated October 6, 2026 · 8 live markets · refreshed twice a day

Gavin Newsom appears in 8 live Polymarket markets with $46.56M traded. The biggest: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 at 15.6%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 8.1%; Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? at 13.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Every live market on Gavin Newsom

MarketChance24hVolumeEnds
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202815.6%-1.5 pts$27.89M2028-11-08
Presidential Election Winner 20288.1%—$18.54M2028-11-08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?13.5%—$86.5K2027-01-01
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?0.2%-0.1 pts$23.9K2027-01-01
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?18.5%+6.0 pts$8.5K2026-10-31
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?77%—$6.3K2028-01-01
Democratic VP Nominee 20282.4%-0.4 pts$2.2K2028-11-08
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?85.5%+0.5 pts$742026-10-31

For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Gavin Newsom's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/gavin-newsom.json (CC BY 4.0).

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Quoting these numbers in an article, a paper or a newsletter? Copy this citation and keep the date, because prices move. Tips: how to cite Polymarket odds.

Polymarket View, “Gavin Newsom odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/gavin-newsom/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Frequently asked questions

What are Gavin Newsom's odds on Polymarket?

Gavin Newsom appears in 8 live Polymarket markets with $46.56M traded. The biggest: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 at 15.6%; Presidential Election Winner 2028 at 8.1%; Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? at 13.5%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.

Which Polymarket market has the most money on Gavin Newsom?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: 15.6% with $27.89M traded, as of October 6, 2026.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds