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Explainer · live examples updated October 6, 2026, twice a day
Stock price markets ask whether a share or an index fund — the S&P 500 fund SPY, Meta, Amazon, Palantir and others — will trade at or beyond a set price during a week or a month. Each price level is its own yes/no market: upward levels count the highest price reached, downward levels the lowest.
Together the levels form a ladder, like the crypto “what price will it hit” markets: a level close to today's price is likely to be touched, a distant one is not.
↓ $189 83.5% · 12 live outcomes · $13.8K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 5 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the …”
$745 98.8% · 11 live outcomes · $12.0K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on October 6, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve …”
↑ $532.50 63% · 12 live outcomes · $9.5K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 5 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which …”
The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.
Live odds: Stocks & Earnings odds · Big Tech odds · US Economy odds
Yes if any one-minute candle during regular trading hours in the stated week or month reaches the listed price (the high for upward levels, the low for downward ones), according to the price source in the rules; otherwise No.
No. The rules count only prices from the regular trading session of the stock's primary exchange.
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