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Explainer · live examples updated October 6, 2026, twice a day
Crypto price markets come in two main forms. “Above ___ on [date]” markets ask whether the price at a set moment is above each listed level — one yes/no market per level. “What price will it hit” markets ask whether the price reaches each level at any point during a period, upward or downward.
Because every level is its own market, the prices form a ladder: the chance of staying above a low level is high, above a high level low. Reading across the ladder gives the market's whole price forecast.
↑ 87,500 81.5% · 19 live outcomes · $409.8K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available …”
78,000 99.9%+ · 11 live outcomes · $395.9K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT …”
↓ 84,000 57.5% · 14 live outcomes · $265.5K traded in 24h
Rules excerpt from Polymarket: “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" …”
The rules text on each market is what decides the outcome. Our market pages summarise it under “How this market resolves”, and how Polymarket resolves markets explains proposals, disputes and payout times.
Live odds: Bitcoin odds · Ethereum odds · Crypto Prices odds
Work it out: crypto price probability calculator.
It is a set of yes/no markets, one per price level. Each pays $1 if Bitcoin's price at the time and source named in the rules is above that level.
It resolves Yes for every level the price reaches at any time during the period, whether or not it stays there.
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