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Lula da Silva odds on Polymarket
Updated October 6, 2026 · 16 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Lula da Silva appears in 16 live Polymarket markets with $18.28M traded. The biggest: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? at 15.5%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? at 7.1%; Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? at 2.1%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Every live market on Lula da Silva
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 15.5% | — | $18.23M | 2026-10-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | 7.1% | +6.5 pts | $37.6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? | 2.1% | +0.8 pts | $2.4K | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? | 3.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.2K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | 12.5% | — | $1.2K | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | 0.6% | — | $717 | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | 0.2% | — | $668 | 2026-10-26 |
| Who will Trump speak to by October 31? | 28.5% | -5.0 pts | $660 | 2026-11-01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | 2.8% | — | $534 | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? | 33% | +20.5 pts | $513 | 2026-10-31 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 7.0% | — | $216 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | 6.5% | — | $155 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | 6.5% | — | $89 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 8.0% | — | $28 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | 1.7% | — | $28 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 3.6% | — | $28 | 2026-11-05 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Lula da Silva's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/lula-da-silva.json (CC BY 4.0).
Elon Musk · Zohran Mamdani · Donald Trump · Gavin Newsom · Byron Donalds · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Flávio Bolsonaro · Xi Jinping · Reza Pahlavi · Mojtaba Khamenei · Benjamin Netanyahu · Naftali Bennett
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Polymarket View, “Lula da Silva odds on Polymarket”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/lula-da-silva/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Frequently asked questions
What are Lula da Silva's odds on Polymarket?
Lula da Silva appears in 16 live Polymarket markets with $18.28M traded. The biggest: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? at 15.5%; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? at 7.1%; Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? at 2.1%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Which Polymarket market has the most money on Lula da Silva?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 15.5% with $18.23M traded, as of October 6, 2026.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds