{
 "slug": "strait-of-hormuz",
 "topic": "Strait of Hormuz",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/",
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "count": 23,
 "volume_24h": 785070.02,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "strait-of-hormuz",
  "hormuz",
  "shipping",
  "blockade"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",
   "leader": "By March 31",
   "probability": 0.72,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 448304.59,
   "volume": 36262263.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 118534.73,
   "volume": 16507174.7,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 70827.98,
   "volume": 75464997.25,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 45908.86,
   "volume": 14238327.06,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt-20260626172559966",
   "leader": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.989,
   "change_24h": 0.689,
   "volume_24h": 25227.05,
   "volume": 922337.59,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-iran-hormuz-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 22495.09,
   "volume": 1625890.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 21420.0,
   "volume": 2805013.74,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0225,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume_24h": 10231.64,
   "volume": 1757850.02,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-october",
   "leader": "25-29",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": -0.11,
   "volume_24h": 6254.56,
   "volume": 12410.99,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 5588.78,
   "volume": 605481.65,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran charges Hormuz fees?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-charges-hormuz-fees/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 2116.1,
   "volume": 3500624.29,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-october-5",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-october-5",
   "leader": "35-39",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": 0.175,
   "volume_24h": 1973.48,
   "volume": 9240.43,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-blockade-lifted-before-iran-oman-hormuz-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-iran-oman-hormuz-agreement",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 1512.15,
   "volume": 20948.48,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-october-5",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-october-5",
   "leader": "190-209",
   "probability": 0.41,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 1306.44,
   "volume": 5209.21,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-on-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-on-october-2026",
   "leader": "October 2",
   "probability": 0.9605,
   "change_24h": 0.1855,
   "volume_24h": 1101.12,
   "volume": 2904.29,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-october",
   "leader": "0-5",
   "probability": 0.74,
   "change_24h": 0.055,
   "volume_24h": 890.4,
   "volume": 5976.24,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-december-31",
   "leader": "US",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 536.57,
   "volume": 50740.67,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 495.14,
   "volume": 13301.29,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-october-31",
   "leader": "10+",
   "probability": 0.44,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 160.0,
   "volume": 1295.98,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0275,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume_24h": 139.01,
   "volume": 111499.6,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114",
   "leader": "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026",
   "probability": 0.815,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 46.34,
   "volume": 546688.03,
   "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US charges Hormuz fees?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-charges-hormuz-fees/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 986699.26,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2293.3,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}