Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Jerônimo Rodrigues, after $401.0K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerônimo Rodrigues | 100% | +25.9 pts | $164.9K |
| ACM Neto | 0.0% | -25.4 pts | $194.0K |
| Kleber Rosa | 0.0% | — | $13.9K |
| José Carlos Aleluia | 0.0% | — | $12.0K |
| Rui Costa | 0.0% | — | $5.7K |
| Bruno Soares Reis | 0.0% | — | $5.3K |
| João Roma | 0.0% | — | $5.2K |
| Other | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 1 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 2 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 3 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 4 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 5 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 6 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 7 | 0.0% | — | — |
13 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $401.0K · 24h volume $24.3K · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jerônimo Rodrigues ■ ACM Neto ■ Kleber Rosa · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Brazil odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Jerônimo Rodrigues, after $401.0K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Bahia Governor Election Winner odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner/">Bahia Governor Election Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Bahia Governor Election Winner — Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/bahia-governor-election-winner.svg" alt="Bahia Governor Election Winner odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog