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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 14, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Åsa Johansson at 92.5%, followed by Sara Gunnarsson at 4.7%, Fredrik Larsson at 4.0%. The market has $38.6K in total volume and $214 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Åsa Johansson | 92.5% | +8.0 pts | $27.0K |
| Sara Gunnarsson | 4.7% | -0.1 pts | $5.6K |
| Fredrik Larsson | 4.0% | -2.5 pts | $913 |
| Tobias Eriksson | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Mikael Strandman | 2.1% | -0.2 pts | $1.0K |
| Elisabeth Björk | 0.7% | -0.4 pts | $934 |
| Sara Hallin | <0.1% | — | $963 |
| Marianne Utterdahl | <0.1% | — | $598 |
| Erik Evestam | <0.1% | — | $542 |
Total volume $38.6K · 24h volume $214 · Liquidity $81.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Åsa Johansson ■ Sara Gunnarsson ■ Fredrik Larsson · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Värmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Åsa Johansson at 92.5%, followed by Sara Gunnarsson at 4.7%, Fredrik Larsson at 4.0%. The market has $38.6K in total volume and $214 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is September 14, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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