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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 6, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 99.9%, followed by Christine Fréchette at 0.1%, Sol Zanetti at 0.1%. The market has $403.9K in total volume and $9.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 99.9% | +2.2 pts | $73.0K |
| Christine Fréchette | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $91.4K |
| Sol Zanetti | 0.1% | — | $56.1K |
| Éric Duhaime | 0.1% | — | $53.6K |
| Charles Milliard | 0.1% | -1.5 pts | $25.3K |
| Bernard Drainville | <0.1% | — | $63.6K |
| Ruba Ghazal | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $40.9K |
Total volume $403.9K · 24h volume $9.7K · Liquidity $136.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Paul St-Pierre Plamondon ■ Christine Fréchette ■ Sol Zanetti · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 99.9%, followed by Christine Fréchette at 0.1%, Sol Zanetti at 0.1%. The market has $403.9K in total volume and $9.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 6, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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