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Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place — Polymarket Odds

Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026

This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Eduardo Braga, after $62.2K of total trading volume.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Eduardo Braga100%
+8.5 pts$35.5K
Capitão Alberto Neto0.0%
-9.3 pts$11.6K
Wilson Lima0.0%
-1.2 pts$5.8K
Plinio Valério0.0%
-0.2 pts$5.4K
Xuxa do Amazonas0.0%
—$916
Ismael Munduruku0.0%
—$915
Professora Evany0.0%
—$858
Dailson Corrêa0.0%
—$605
Evandro de Oliveira0.0%
—$563
Candidate A0.0%
——
Candidate B0.0%
——
Candidate C0.0%
——
Candidate D0.0%
——
Candidate E0.0%
——
Candidate F0.0%
——

21 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.

Total volume $62.2K · 24h volume $239 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Oct 5

■ Eduardo Braga ■ Capitão Alberto Neto ■ Wilson Lima · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place?

This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Eduardo Braga, after $62.2K of total trading volume.

When does the Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place market end?

The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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