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Updated October 6, 2026 · refreshed twice a day
Polymarket prices Barcelona at 21.5% and Kalshi at 24.5%. The widest gap is on Barcelona: 21.5% on Polymarket vs 24.5% on Kalshi (3.0 points). Prices checked October 6, 2026, before fees.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap | Cheaper to buy Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 21.5% | 24.5% | -3.0 pts | Polymarket |
| Bayern Munich | 14.5% | 14.5% | 0 | Same |
| Arsenal | 13.5% | 13.5% | 0 | Same |
| Real Madrid | 9.5% | 11.5% | -2.0 pts | Polymarket |
| Manchester City | 8.5% | 6.5% | +2.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Liverpool | 4.5% | 3.5% | +1.0 pts | Kalshi |
| Inter Milan | 2.2% | 2.5% | -0.3 pts | Polymarket |
| Manchester United | 2.1% | 1.5% | +0.6 pts | Kalshi |
| Como | 0.9% | 2.0% | -1.1 pts | Polymarket |
| Atlético Madrid | 1.8% | 1.5% | +0.3 pts | Kalshi |
Gap = Polymarket minus Kalshi, in percentage points, before fees. Polymarket odds page for this event · Kalshi odds for this event on Kalshi View
Polymarket prices Barcelona at 21.5% and Kalshi at 24.5%. The widest gap is on Barcelona: 21.5% on Polymarket vs 24.5% on Kalshi (3.0 points). Prices checked October 6, 2026, before fees.
They are separate order books with different traders, fees and access rules, so the same outcome can trade a few points apart. Fees, deposit and withdrawal costs and settlement rules can erase a small gap.
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