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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 95.2%, followed by Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán at 4.6%, Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví at 2.6%. The market has $40.5K in total volume and $3.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi | 95.2% | +13.2 pts | $19.1K |
| Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán | 4.6% | -8.0 pts | $13.3K |
| Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví | 2.6% | +0.2 pts | $430 |
| Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $423 |
| Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios | 1.7% | -0.6 pts | $579 |
| John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin | 1.5% | -4.2 pts | $610 |
| Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia | 1.5% | -2.6 pts | $437 |
| José Luis Morey Requejo | 1.5% | -7.6 pts | $822 |
| Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios | 1.2% | -0.2 pts | $380 |
| Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena | 0.9% | -2.2 pts | $438 |
| Walther Guerrero Silva | 0.3% | -11.5 pts | $815 |
| Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot | 0.3% | -4.3 pts | $506 |
| Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K |
| Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde | 0.1% | -3.9 pts | $592 |
| Guillermo Chávez Timoteo | <0.1% | -4.5 pts | $422 |
Total volume $40.5K · 24h volume $3.2K · Liquidity $157.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi ■ Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán ■ Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 95.2%, followed by Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán at 4.6%, Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví at 2.6%. The market has $40.5K in total volume and $3.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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