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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 3, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 59.7%, followed by Karen Bass at 40%. The market has $14.91M in total volume and $20.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 59.7% | -1.7 pts | $2.41M |
| Karen Bass | 40% | +1.5 pts | $1.35M |
| Spencer Pratt (settled) | 0.0% | -0.6 pts | $7.86M |
| Lindsey Horvath (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.69M |
| Rae Huang (settled) | 0.0% | — | $522.8K |
| Rick Caruso (settled) | 0.0% | — | $494.5K |
| Adam Miller (settled) | 0.0% | — | $199.0K |
| Gina Viola (settled) | 0.0% | — | $166.0K |
| Asaad Alnajjar (settled) | 0.0% | — | $140.3K |
| Austin Beutner (settled) | 0.0% | — | $44.9K |
| Monica Rodriguez (settled) | 0.0% | — | $33.9K |
Total volume $14.91M · 24h volume $20.1K · Liquidity $297.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Nithya Raman ■ Karen Bass · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: 2028 Presidential Election odds · Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 59.7%, followed by Karen Bass at 40%. The market has $14.91M in total volume and $20.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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