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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 4, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on AS, after $310.2K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS | 100% | +1.0 pts | $114.2K |
| ZZS | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $56.9K |
| PRO | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $39.0K |
| LPV | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $30.3K |
| SV | 0.0% | — | $30.2K |
| JV | 0.0% | — | $13.9K |
| NA | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $12.2K |
| S | 0.0% | — | $7.5K |
| ST! | 0.0% | — | $5.9K |
| Other | 0.0% | — | — |
| Party A | 0.0% | — | — |
| Party B | 0.0% | — | — |
| Party C | 0.0% | — | — |
| Party D | 0.0% | — | — |
| Party E | 0.0% | — | — |
21 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $310.2K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ AS ■ ZZS ■ PRO · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on AS, after $310.2K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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