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Updated October 6, 2026 at 01:28 UTC · refreshed twice a day · daily markets settle at noon ET
Polymarket traders put XRP's price at noon ET on October 6 at about $1.52 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $1.46–$1.56. They give 59% to XRP above $1.50 and 4.5% to XRP above $1.60; the single most likely range is $1.40–$1.50 (40%); chance XRP closes higher than the day before: 71.5%.
| Noon ET on | Median | 50% range | 80% range | Chance of up day | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 6 | $1.52 | $1.46–$1.56 | $1.42–$1.59 | 71.5% | $1.5K |
| October 7 | $1.51 | $1.45–$1.56 | $1.42–$1.59 | 50.5% | $586 |
| October 8 | $1.51 | $1.45–$1.56 | $1.41–$1.60 | — | $256 |
| October 9 | $1.51 | $1.44–$1.57 | $1.41–$1.61 | — | $3.7K |
| October 10 | $1.51 | $1.44–$1.57 | $1.40–$1.63 | — | $124 |
| October 11 | $1.51 | $1.44–$1.58 | $1.38–$1.65 | — | $0 |
| October 12 | $1.50 | $1.43–$1.58 | $1.36–$1.66 | — | $0 |
Median and ranges are read off each day's "above" ladder: the price where the chance of closing above it is 50% (median), 75%–25% (50% range) and 90%–10% (80% range).
| Price | Chance above | |
|---|---|---|
| $1.20 | 99.5% | |
| $1.30 | 99.5% | |
| $1.40 | 96.2% | |
| $1.50 | 59% | |
| $1.60 | 4.5% | |
| $1.70 | 0.5% | |
| $1.80 | 0.5% |
| Range | Chance | |
|---|---|---|
| $1.10–$1.20 | 0.5% | |
| $1.20–$1.30 | 0.5% | |
| $1.30–$1.40 | 2.1% | |
| $1.40–$1.50 | 40% | |
| $1.50–$1.60 | 37% | |
| $1.60–$1.70 | 2.1% | |
| $1.70–$1.80 | 0.5% | |
| $1.80–$1.90 | 0.5% | |
| above $2.00 | 0.5% |
XRP has already reached $1.50 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $1.70 | 7.0% |
| ↑ reach $1.60 | 33% |
| ↓ dip to $1.40 | 26% |
| ↓ dip to $1.30 | 3.8% |
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $2.40 | 2.4% |
| ↑ reach $2.20 | 8.0% |
| ↑ reach $2.00 | 11% |
| ↑ reach $1.80 | 24% |
| ↑ reach $1.60 | 66.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1.40 | 64% |
| ↓ dip to $1.20 | 15.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1.00 | 4.0% |
XRP has already reached $2.40; already dipped to $1.00 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $6.00 | 2.0% |
| ↑ reach $4.20 | 2.9% |
| ↑ reach $4.00 | 3.5% |
| ↑ reach $3.80 | 2.9% |
| ↑ reach $3.60 | 4.5% |
| ↑ reach $3.40 | 4.8% |
| ↑ reach $3.20 | 6.6% |
| ↑ reach $3.00 | 9.6% |
| ↑ reach $2.80 | 8.8% |
| ↑ reach $2.60 | 17% |
| ↓ dip to $0.8000 | 10.5% |
| ↓ dip to $0.6000 | 6.0% |
Educational information, not financial advice. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not quotes you can trade at.
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Polymarket View, “XRP (XRP) price prediction from Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/xrp-price-prediction/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket traders put XRP's price at noon ET on October 6 at about $1.52 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $1.46–$1.56. They give 59% to XRP above $1.50 and 4.5% to XRP above $1.60; the single most likely range is $1.40–$1.50 (40%); chance XRP closes higher than the day before: 71.5%.
From Polymarket's daily "XRP above ___ on <date>?" markets, which settle on the Binance XRP/USDT one-minute candle close at 12:00 ET. Each strike's Yes price is the market's chance that XRP closes above it; the median is where that chance crosses 50%, and the 50% range runs from the 75% to the 25% strike.
Polymarket's "XRP Up or Down on October 6" market gives 71.5% to up versus the previous day's noon ET close.
Daily price ladders track volatility, not a forecast of direction: the implied range is as wide as traders think the next day's moves can be. Our accuracy study measures how often Polymarket favourites win across resolved markets: polymarkettrader.com/odds/accuracy/.
Free JSON: /api/v1/crypto-prices.json (CC BY 4.0). Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Binance.