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Updated October 6, 2026 at 01:28 UTC · refreshed twice a day · daily markets settle at noon ET
Polymarket traders put Solana's price at noon ET on October 6 at about $121 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $119–$123. They give 68% to SOL above $120 and 4.8% to SOL above $125; the single most likely range is $120–$130 (68%); chance SOL closes higher than the day before: 80%.
| Noon ET on | Median | 50% range | 80% range | Chance of up day | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 6 | $121 | $119–$123 | $116–$125 | 80% | $21.7K |
| October 7 | $121 | $118–$124 | $116–$126 | 49.5% | $16.3K |
| October 8 | $121 | $117–$124 | $115–$128 | — | $13.0K |
| October 9 | $121 | $117–$125 | $114–$129 | — | $909 |
| October 10 | $121 | $117–$125 | $113–$130 | — | $450 |
| October 11 | $121 | $116–$126 | $112–$130 | — | $191 |
| October 12 | $121 | $116–$126 | $111–$131 | — | $0 |
Median and ranges are read off each day's "above" ladder: the price where the chance of closing above it is 50% (median), 75%–25% (50% range) and 90%–10% (80% range).
| Price | Chance above | |
|---|---|---|
| $110 | 97.8% | |
| $115 | 96.7% | |
| $120 | 68% | |
| $125 | 4.8% | |
| $130 | 3.2% |
| Range | Chance | |
|---|---|---|
| $70.00–$80.00 | 0.5% | |
| $100–$110 | 12.7% | |
| $110–$120 | 27.5% | |
| $120–$130 | 68% | |
| $130–$140 | 1.4% | |
| $140–$150 | 0.5% | |
| $150–$160 | 0.5% |
Solana has already reached $120 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $140 | 2.6% |
| ↑ reach $130 | 22% |
| ↓ dip to $110 | 12% |
Solana has already reached $120; already dipped to $120 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $180 | 2.2% |
| ↑ reach $170 | 3.9% |
| ↑ reach $160 | 7.0% |
| ↑ reach $150 | 12.5% |
| ↑ reach $140 | 27.5% |
| ↑ reach $130 | 57.5% |
| ↓ dip to $110 | 48.5% |
| ↓ dip to $100 | 18.5% |
| ↓ dip to $90.00 | 6.5% |
| ↓ dip to $80.00 | 3.5% |
Solana has already reached $140; already dipped to $80.00 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $320 | 2.0% |
| ↑ reach $300 | 2.4% |
| ↑ reach $280 | 3.3% |
| ↑ reach $260 | 4.1% |
| ↑ reach $240 | 5.1% |
| ↑ reach $220 | 8.3% |
| ↑ reach $200 | 10% |
| ↑ reach $180 | 17% |
| ↑ reach $160 | 29% |
| ↓ dip to $90.00 | 24.5% |
| ↓ dip to $70.00 | 12.5% |
| ↓ dip to $60.00 | 6.7% |
Educational information, not financial advice. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not quotes you can trade at.
🇪🇸 Predicción del precio de Solana en español · 🇧🇷 Previsão do preço do Solana em português
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/crypto/solana/" width="100%" height="260" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Solana price odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/solana-price-prediction/">Solana price prediction</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
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Polymarket View, “Solana (SOL) price prediction from Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/solana-price-prediction/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket traders put Solana's price at noon ET on October 6 at about $121 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $119–$123. They give 68% to SOL above $120 and 4.8% to SOL above $125; the single most likely range is $120–$130 (68%); chance SOL closes higher than the day before: 80%.
From Polymarket's daily "Solana above ___ on <date>?" markets, which settle on the Binance SOL/USDT one-minute candle close at 12:00 ET. Each strike's Yes price is the market's chance that SOL closes above it; the median is where that chance crosses 50%, and the 50% range runs from the 75% to the 25% strike.
Polymarket's "Solana Up or Down on October 6" market gives 80% to up versus the previous day's noon ET close.
Daily price ladders track volatility, not a forecast of direction: the implied range is as wide as traders think the next day's moves can be. Our accuracy study measures how often Polymarket favourites win across resolved markets: polymarkettrader.com/odds/accuracy/.
Free JSON: /api/v1/crypto-prices.json (CC BY 4.0). Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Binance.