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Updated October 6, 2026 at 01:28 UTC · refreshed twice a day · daily markets settle at noon ET
Polymarket traders put Ethereum's price at noon ET on October 6 at about $2,726 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $2,674–$2,767. They give 66.5% to ETH above $2,700 and 4.2% to ETH above $2,800; the single most likely range is $2,700–$2,800 (65%); chance ETH closes higher than the day before: 72.5%.
| Noon ET on | Median | 50% range | 80% range | Chance of up day | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 6 | $2,726 | $2,674–$2,767 | $2,629–$2,791 | 72.5% | $161.4K |
| October 7 | $2,721 | $2,660–$2,770 | $2,618–$2,799 | 50.5% | $94.5K |
| October 8 | $2,716 | $2,646–$2,779 | $2,603–$2,848 | — | $28.3K |
| October 9 | $2,717 | $2,642–$2,789 | $2,583–$2,873 | — | $25.8K |
| October 10 | $2,715 | $2,635–$2,791 | $2,562–$2,875 | — | $7.9K |
| October 11 | $2,714 | $2,625–$2,806 | $2,533–$2,894 | — | $2.6K |
| October 12 | $2,712 | $2,617–$2,818 | $2,522–$2,917 | — | $458 |
Median and ranges are read off each day's "above" ladder: the price where the chance of closing above it is 50% (median), 75%–25% (50% range) and 90%–10% (80% range).
| Price | Chance above | |
|---|---|---|
| $2,600 | 99.4% | |
| $2,700 | 66.5% | |
| $2,800 | 4.2% | |
| $2,900 | 0.7% |
| Range | Chance | |
|---|---|---|
| $2,600–$2,700 | 31.5% | |
| $2,700–$2,800 | 65% | |
| $2,800–$2,900 | 3.5% | |
| $2,900–$3,000 | 0.7% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,700 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $3,100 | 3.7% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 6.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,900 | 22.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,800 | 55.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,600 | 40% |
| ↓ dip to $2,500 | 11.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,400 | 3.5% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,700; already dipped to $2,700 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $3,600 | 3.9% |
| ↑ reach $3,500 | 5.8% |
| ↑ reach $3,400 | 8.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,300 | 10.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,200 | 16.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,100 | 25.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 40.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,900 | 57.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,800 | 79.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,600 | 72% |
| ↓ dip to $2,500 | 50.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,400 | 30.5% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,750; already dipped to $2,000 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $6,500 | 2.4% |
| ↑ reach $6,000 | 2.9% |
| ↑ reach $5,500 | 3.2% |
| ↑ reach $5,000 | 4.5% |
| ↑ reach $4,500 | 5.5% |
| ↑ reach $4,000 | 14% |
| ↑ reach $3,500 | 30.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 67.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,250 | 23.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,750 | 6.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,500 | 6.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,250 | 4.5% |
Educational information, not financial advice. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not quotes you can trade at.
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Polymarket View, “Ethereum (ETH) price prediction from Polymarket odds”, October 6, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ethereum-price-prediction/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket traders put Ethereum's price at noon ET on October 6 at about $2,726 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $2,674–$2,767. They give 66.5% to ETH above $2,700 and 4.2% to ETH above $2,800; the single most likely range is $2,700–$2,800 (65%); chance ETH closes higher than the day before: 72.5%.
From Polymarket's daily "Ethereum above ___ on <date>?" markets, which settle on the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle close at 12:00 ET. Each strike's Yes price is the market's chance that ETH closes above it; the median is where that chance crosses 50%, and the 50% range runs from the 75% to the 25% strike.
Polymarket's "Ethereum Up or Down on October 6" market gives 72.5% to up versus the previous day's noon ET close.
Daily price ladders track volatility, not a forecast of direction: the implied range is as wide as traders think the next day's moves can be. Our accuracy study measures how often Polymarket favourites win across resolved markets: polymarkettrader.com/odds/accuracy/.
Free JSON: /api/v1/crypto-prices.json (CC BY 4.0). Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Binance.