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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 4, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alan Grayson - FL-Sen at 24.7%, followed by James Talarico - TX-Sen at 20.5%, Dan Osborn - NE-Sen at 8.9%. The market has $190.3K in total volume and $223 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Grayson - FL-Sen | 24.7% | +1.8 pts | $13.0K |
| James Talarico - TX-Sen | 20.5% | +4.0 pts | $84.9K |
| Dan Osborn - NE-Sen | 8.9% | +0.2 pts | $28.1K |
| Zach Wahls - IA-Sen | 2.3% | — | $16.5K |
| Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $24.8K |
| Kshama Sawant - WA-09 | 1.2% | +0.1 pts | $18.8K |
| Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor (settled) | 0.0% | -51.9 pts | $4.2K |
Total volume $190.3K · 24h volume $223 · Liquidity $43.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alan Grayson - FL-Sen ■ James Talarico - TX-Sen ■ Dan Osborn - NE-Sen · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.
If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Politics odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alan Grayson - FL-Sen at 24.7%, followed by James Talarico - TX-Sen at 20.5%, Dan Osborn - NE-Sen at 8.9%. The market has $190.3K in total volume and $223 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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