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Google Gemini odds on Polymarket
Updated October 5, 2026 · 55 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Google Gemini appears in 55 live Polymarket markets with $913.1K traded. The biggest: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? at 20%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? at 80.5%; Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? at 35.9%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Every live market on Google Gemini
| Market | Chance | 24h | Volume | Ends |
|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | 20% | -3.0 pts | $138.1K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | 80.5% | +6.0 pts | $105.2K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | 35.9% | -0.5 pts | $54.1K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | 31.2% | -0.2 pts | $51.2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | 28.5% | -6.0 pts | $50.4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | 66.5% | +3.0 pts | $45.6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | 35.9% | -8.5 pts | $45.4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | 83.5% | +7.5 pts | $44.8K | 2026-10-31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | 33% | -5.0 pts | $42.3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | 9.0% | — | $39.0K | 2026-10-16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | 3.2% | -2.9 pts | $35.3K | 2026-10-18 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | 96.2% | — | $34.4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | 44.5% | +4.0 pts | $32.3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | 34% | -2.5 pts | $32.2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | 3.6% | -0.4 pts | $19.7K | 2026-10-10 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | 25% | +1.5 pts | $18.2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | 43.5% | -11.0 pts | $17.5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | 9.3% | -2.5 pts | $16.7K | 2026-10-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? | 3.7% | +0.9 pts | $16.5K | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | 47.3% | -5.7 pts | $13.3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | 10% | — | $10.5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | 12% | -3.0 pts | $10.4K | 2026-10-24 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? | 1.9% | +0.9 pts | $9.9K | 2026-11-01 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | 3.9% | — | $4.4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026? | 2.0% | +0.9 pts | $3.3K | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? | 38.5% | — | $3.2K | 2026-12-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? | 37% | -7.0 pts | $2.5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026? | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $1.6K | 2026-10-10 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026? | 2.1% | — | $1.2K | 2026-10-30 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $1.1K | 2026-10-26 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026? | 2.5% | -0.9 pts | $1.1K | 2026-10-27 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026? | 1.1% | -0.4 pts | $909 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026? | 2.9% | — | $874 | 2026-10-23 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 8, 2026? | 2.9% | -0.2 pts | $784 | 2026-10-08 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026? | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $758 | 2026-10-09 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $755 | 2026-10-28 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026? | 3.4% | +2.8 pts | $718 | 2026-10-25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026? | 0.6% | — | $716 | 2026-10-15 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026? | 0.4% | — | $581 | 2026-10-29 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026? | 0.5% | — | $562 | 2026-10-31 |
For list markets (nominees, winners, appointments) the chance is Google Gemini's own outcome; for Yes/No questions it is the Yes price. Free JSON: /api/v1/people/google-gemini.json (CC BY 4.0).
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Polymarket View, “Google Gemini odds on Polymarket”, October 5, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/person/google-gemini/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Frequently asked questions
What are Google Gemini's odds on Polymarket?
Google Gemini appears in 55 live Polymarket markets with $913.1K traded. The biggest: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? at 20%; Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? at 80.5%; Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? at 35.9%. Prices are traders' implied chances, updated twice a day.
Which Polymarket market has the most money on Google Gemini?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: 20% with $138.1K traded, as of October 5, 2026.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data, refreshed twice a day. A price of 30% means traders pay 30 cents for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket.
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All people · All Polymarket odds