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Resolved market · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on NVIDIA, after $2.37M of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 100% | +0.2 pts | $688.7K |
| Apple | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $519.8K |
| Alphabet | 0.0% | — | $307.6K |
| Amazon | 0.0% | — | $158.1K |
| Microsoft | 0.0% | — | $154.8K |
| Tesla | 0.0% | — | $151.0K |
| Saudi Aramco | 0.0% | — | $143.6K |
| SpaceX | 0.0% | — | $128.4K |
| Broadcom | 0.0% | — | $120.5K |
| Company F | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company G | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company H | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company I | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company J | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company K | 0.0% | — | — |
10 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $2.37M · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ NVIDIA ■ Apple ■ Alphabet · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: US Economy odds · Big Tech odds
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on NVIDIA, after $2.37M of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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