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Flávio Bolsonaro: chances na Polymarket
Atualizado em 6 de outubro de 2026 · 40 mercados ativos · atualização duas vezes por dia
Flávio Bolsonaro aparece em 40 mercados ativos da Polymarket, com US$ 17,5 mi negociados. Os maiores: Brazil Presidential Election com 84,8%; Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? com 48,5%; Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? com 38,5%. Os preços são as chances implícitas pelos traders e são atualizados duas vezes por dia.
Todos os mercados ativos sobre Flávio Bolsonaro
| Mercado | Chance | Volume | Encerra |
|---|
| Brazil Presidential Election | 84,8% | US$ 17,4 mi | 2026-10-05 |
| Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? | 48,5% | US$ 37 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 38,5% | US$ 7 mil | 2026-11-05 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad | 48,5% | US$ 4 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul | 98,4% | US$ 4 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo | 96,5% | US$ 4 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | 4,9% | US$ 4 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas | 44% | US$ 3 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo | 98,4% | US$ 3 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | 49,5% | US$ 3 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima | 98,5% | US$ 3 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro | 97,5% | US$ 2 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | 1,6% | US$ 2 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rondônia | 98,5% | US$ 2 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | 32,5% | US$ 2 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Acre | 98,4% | US$ 2 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul | 98,5% | US$ 1 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará | 17,5% | US$ 1 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso | 98% | US$ 1 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá | 72,5% | US$ 1 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31? | 76% | US$ 1 mil | 2026-10-31 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Tocantins | 97,2% | US$ 1 mil | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais | 90,5% | US$ 753 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District | 97,5% | US$ 745 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte | 1,2% | US$ 740 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Bahia | 1,3% | US$ 730 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba | 1,7% | US$ 717 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás | 98,5% | US$ 633 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraná | 98,5% | US$ 591 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Piauí | 2,6% | US$ 563 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina | 98,5% | US$ 404 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe | 2,0% | US$ 386 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco | 1,9% | US$ 376 | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 24% | US$ 288 | 2026-11-05 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Maranhão | 2,8% | US$ 257 | 2026-10-26 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas | 2,0% | US$ 88 | 2026-10-26 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | 9,0% | US$ 86 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | 13,5% | US$ 28 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | 5,1% | US$ 28 | 2026-11-05 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | 6,3% | US$ 28 | 2026-11-05 |
Nos mercados de lista (candidatos, vencedores) a chance é a de Flávio Bolsonaro; nas perguntas de Sim/Não é o preço do Sim. Eleição de 4 de outubro: probabilidades da eleição no Brasil 2026.
Perguntas frequentes
Quais são as chances de Flávio Bolsonaro na Polymarket?
Flávio Bolsonaro aparece em 40 mercados ativos da Polymarket, com US$ 17,5 mi negociados. Os maiores: Brazil Presidential Election com 84,8%; Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? com 48,5%; Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? com 38,5%. Os preços são as chances implícitas pelos traders e são atualizados duas vezes por dia.
Qual mercado da Polymarket tem mais dinheiro em Flávio Bolsonaro?
Brazil Presidential Election: 84,8%, com US$ 17,4 mi negociados, em 6 de outubro de 2026.
De onde vêm essas probabilidades?
Dos dados públicos da Polymarket, atualizados duas vezes por dia. Um preço de 40% significa que os traders pagam 40 centavos por uma cota que paga US$ 1 se o resultado acontecer. O Polymarket View é independente e não é afiliado à Polymarket.
O Polymarket View é independente e não é afiliado à Polymarket. Informação educativa, não é recomendação de investimento. Todas as pessoas · Polymarket em português