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Resolved market · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on ↓ $750, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↓ $770, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $760, ↓ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↓ $770, ↓ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $760, after $194.7K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $750 | 100% | +30.4 pts | $21.7K |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +52.4 pts | $7.7K |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +23.4 pts | $4.0K |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +18.9 pts | $3.6K |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | +22.4 pts | $1.4K |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | $1.1K |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +20.9 pts | $1.1K |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | $1.0K |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | +18.9 pts | $757 |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +33.0 pts | $621 |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +9.4 pts | $441 |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | $369 |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | — | $175 |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | $113 |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | $88 |
16 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $194.7K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↓ $750 ■ ↑ $770 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on ↓ $750, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↓ $770, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $760, ↓ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↓ $770, ↓ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $760, after $194.7K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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