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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: October 12, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 84,000 at 59.5%, followed by ↑ 88,000 at 52.5%, ↓ 82,000 at 24.5%. The market has $251.9K in total volume and $251.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 86,000 (settled) | 100% | — | $831 |
| ↓ 84,000 | 59.5% | — | $1.5K |
| ↑ 88,000 | 52.5% | — | $6.2K |
| ↓ 82,000 | 24.5% | — | $7.2K |
| ↑ 90,000 | 23.5% | — | $6.4K |
| ↑ 92,000 | 9.5% | — | $66.4K |
| ↓ 80,000 | 9.5% | — | $35.5K |
| ↓ 78,000 | 3.4% | — | $16.0K |
| ↑ 94,000 | 3.2% | — | $39.3K |
| ↓ 76,000 | 1.6% | — | $12.8K |
| ↓ 74,000 | 1.2% | — | $18.4K |
| ↑ 96,000 | 1.1% | — | $4.9K |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0.9% | — | $18.7K |
| ↑ 98,000 | 0.9% | — | $12.2K |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0.8% | — | $5.4K |
Total volume $251.9K · 24h volume $251.9K · Liquidity $509.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↓ 84,000 ■ ↑ 88,000 ■ ↓ 82,000 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Bitcoin odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 84,000 at 59.5%, followed by ↑ 88,000 at 52.5%, ↓ 82,000 at 24.5%. The market has $251.9K in total volume and $251.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 12, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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