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Resolved market · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 16, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Jacob Misiorowski, after $1.80M of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 100% | +4.4 pts | $4.4K |
| Jeffrey Springs | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.09M |
| Bryan Woo | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $631.1K |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.0% | — | $9.8K |
| Dylan Cease | 0.0% | — | $9.5K |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 0.0% | — | $8.7K |
| Seth Lugo | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $6.4K |
| Paul Skenes | 0.0% | — | $4.1K |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $3.6K |
| José Soriano | 0.0% | — | $2.6K |
| Tarik Skubal | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $1.9K |
| Logan Webb | 0.0% | — | $1.6K |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 0.0% | — | $1.6K |
| Hunter Brown | 0.0% | — | $1.4K |
| Max Fried | 0.0% | -0.3 pts | $1.3K |
71 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $1.80M · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jacob Misiorowski ■ Jeffrey Springs ■ Bryan Woo · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
This market has closed. At the last update (October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Jacob Misiorowski, after $1.80M of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 16, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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