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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Venable at 80.2%, followed by Kevin Cash at 17.5%, Stephen Vogt at 1.7%. The market has $78.9K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venable | 80.2% | +0.2 pts | $11.8K |
| Kevin Cash | 17.5% | -0.1 pts | $24.3K |
| Stephen Vogt | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $2.7K |
| Skip Schumaker | 1.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.5K |
| Dan Wilson | 0.4% | — | $7.0K |
| Craig Albernaz | 0.4% | — | $3.9K |
| Derek Shelton | 0.4% | — | $2.8K |
| Joe Espada | 0.4% | — | $1.1K |
| A.J. Hinch | 0.4% | — | $1.5K |
| Aaron Boone | 0.4% | — | $1.0K |
| John Schneider | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $1.0K |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.3% | — | $897 |
| Alex Cora | 0.2% | — | $15.3K |
| Matt Quatraro | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $802 |
| Chad Tracy | 0.1% | — | $539 |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $78.9K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $17.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Will Venable ■ Kevin Cash ■ Stephen Vogt · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Will Venable at 80.2%, followed by Kevin Cash at 17.5%, Stephen Vogt at 1.7%. The market has $78.9K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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