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Updated October 6, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 1, 2026
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Tampa Bay Rays at 37.2%, followed by Chicago White Sox at 29.1%, New York Yankees at 24.5%. The market has $4.57M in total volume and $12.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 37.2% | -0.1 pts | $432.9K |
| Chicago White Sox | 29.1% | +7.8 pts | $321.1K |
| New York Yankees | 24.5% | +0.5 pts | $105.1K |
| Cleveland Guardians | 7.5% | -6.0 pts | $770.9K |
| Kansas City Royals (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $856.3K |
| Houston Astros (settled) | 0.0% | -4.5 pts | $802.9K |
| Los Angeles Angels (settled) | 0.0% | — | $327.5K |
| Minnesota Twins (settled) | 0.0% | — | $258.5K |
| Athletics (settled) | 0.0% | — | $176.3K |
| Toronto Blue Jays (settled) | 0.0% | -1.8 pts | $159.3K |
| Detroit Tigers (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $126.6K |
| Boston Red Sox (settled) | 0.0% | -5.0 pts | $85.1K |
| Baltimore Orioles (settled) | 0.0% | — | $73.1K |
| Seattle Mariners (settled) | 0.0% | — | $43.9K |
| Texas Rangers (settled) | 0.0% | -1.6 pts | $34.8K |
Total volume $4.57M · 24h volume $12.4K · Liquidity $220.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Tampa Bay Rays ■ Chicago White Sox ■ New York Yankees · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of October 6, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Tampa Bay Rays at 37.2%, followed by Chicago White Sox at 29.1%, New York Yankees at 24.5%. The market has $4.57M in total volume and $12.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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