{
 "slug": "venezuela",
 "topic": "Venezuela",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela/",
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "count": 27,
 "volume_24h": 60556.99,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "venezuela",
  "maduro",
  "trump-machado"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 36092.26,
   "volume": 3475097.08,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Venezuela leader end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Nicolás Maduro",
   "probability": 0.7165,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 9491.36,
   "volume": 98072190.8,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US military action against Cuba?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-strike-on-cuba/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-cuba-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 4726.13,
   "volume": 7573036.39,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "María Corina Machado enters Venezuela?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.375,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 3092.64,
   "volume": 6544579.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US strike on Mexico?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-strike-on-mexico/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-mexico-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0355,
   "change_24h": -0.0245,
   "volume_24h": 2811.45,
   "volume": 3491014.8,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.12,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 2015.53,
   "volume": 2241853.55,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US strike on Colombia?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-strike-on-colombia-by-january-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-colombia-by-january-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 877.96,
   "volume": 2204886.18,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/cilia-flores-released-from-custody/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 250.98,
   "volume": 1383267.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 245.21,
   "volume": 285880.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-colombia-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-colombia-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0315,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 234.14,
   "volume": 150564.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x Cuba economic deal?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-x-cuba-economic-deal/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 188.93,
   "volume": 442396.47,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Venezuela presidential election scheduled?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 171.61,
   "volume": 636384.65,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/delcy-rodrguez-out-as-leader-of-venezuela/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/delcy-rodrguez-out-as-leader-of-venezuela-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 150.11,
   "volume": 656608.69,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Maduro Prison Time?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maduro-prison-time-527/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-prison-time-527",
   "leader": "No prison time",
   "probability": 0.625,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 106.28,
   "volume": 904159.37,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-venezuelan-crude-oil-production-reach-barrels-per-day-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-venezuelan-crude-oil-production-reach-barrels-per-day-in-2026",
   "leader": "1.2m",
   "probability": 0.73,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 43.48,
   "volume": 187613.88,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Maduro guilty of all counts?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-guilty-of-all-counts",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-guilty-of-all-counts",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 39.67,
   "volume": 133212.18,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-capture-another-world-leader-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-capture-another-world-leader-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 12.5,
   "volume": 85574.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-mara-corina-machado-for-venezuela-president-in-2026-314",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-mara-corina-machado-for-venezuela-president-in-2026-314",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 3.75,
   "volume": 115206.08,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 3.0,
   "volume": 179768.71,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.029,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 14197838.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Nicolás Maduro released from custody?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nicols-maduro-released-from-custody/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nicols-maduro-released-from-custody-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2690589.1,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Delcy Rodríguez",
   "probability": 0.935,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 408195.29,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Venezuela become 51st state?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-venezuela-become-51st-state/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-venezuela-become-51st-state",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 396762.08,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-mexico-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-mexico-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 254743.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will US annex any territory in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-annex-any-territory-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-annex-any-territory-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0485,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 157480.74,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 94557.44,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuelan-oil-added-to-strategic-petroleum-reserve-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuelan-oil-added-to-strategic-petroleum-reserve-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 9914.41,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}