{ "slug": "midterms", "topic": "2026 Midterms", "category": "politics", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/midterms/", "updated": "2026-10-06T00:50:00+00:00", "count": 308, "volume_24h": 1360578.41, "polymarket_tags": [ "midterms", "house-elections", "senate-midterms", "governor-midterms", "senate-tossups", "governor-tossups" ], "markets": [ { "title": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/us-midterms-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/balance-of-power-2026-midterms", "leader": "Democrats Sweep", "probability": 0.655, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 561759.23, "volume": 18320525.43, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/texas-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-winner", "leader": "James Talarico (D)", "probability": 0.645, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 141088.65, "volume": 2189092.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which party will win the House in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/us-midterms-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026", "leader": "Democratic Party", "probability": 0.925, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 106563.75, "volume": 13835514.09, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nevada Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nevada-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Aaron Ford (D)", "probability": 0.555, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_24h": 77745.16, "volume": 338796.38, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/us-midterms-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026", "leader": "Democratic Party", "probability": 0.655, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 61782.23, "volume": 5849666.61, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Minnesota Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/minnesota-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Peggy Flanagan (D)", "probability": 0.865, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 33639.04, "volume": 195572.71, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-house-odds-hit-by-october-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-house-odds-hit-by-october-31", "leader": "↓ 7%", "probability": 0.911, "change_24h": 0.128, "volume_24h": 16806.41, "volume": 119111.74, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "PA-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pa-01-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Brian Fitzpatrick (R)", "probability": 0.6, "change_24h": -0.055, "volume_24h": 16320.39, "volume": 30882.14, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maine Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maine-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Troy Jackson (D)", "probability": 0.585, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 14303.92, "volume": 2123337.49, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-trifecta-with-supermajority-in-the-senate/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-trifecta-with-supermajority-in-the-senate", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.0235, "change_24h": -0.0025, "volume_24h": 11863.65, "volume": 207898.23, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Montana Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/montana-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Kurt Alme (R) ", "probability": 0.915, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 11105.22, "volume": 156561.81, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MT-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mt-01-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mt-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Aaron Flint (R)", "probability": 0.765, "change_24h": 0.15, "volume_24h": 10947.37, "volume": 39663.39, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GA-10 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ga-10-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-10-house-election-winner", "leader": "Houston Gaines (R)", "probability": 0.961, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 7985.81, "volume": 40142.4, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Ohio Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ohio-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Sherrod Brown (D)", "probability": 0.615, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 7536.76, "volume": 1050602.0, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alaska Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/alaska-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Mary Peltola", "probability": 0.735, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 7515.08, "volume": 1124676.67, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/texas-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Greg Abbott (R)", "probability": 0.7295, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 6943.2, "volume": 446949.63, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Carolina Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/south-carolina-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Darline Graham Nordone (R)", "probability": 0.845, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 6483.82, "volume": 657998.65, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/michigan-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Abdul El-Sayed (D)", "probability": 0.735, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 5295.66, "volume": 1306504.73, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nebraska Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nebraska-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Pete Ricketts (R)", "probability": 0.735, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 5146.86, "volume": 496519.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Vermont Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vermont-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Phil Scott (R)", "probability": 0.765, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 5097.01, "volume": 170993.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kansas Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kansas-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Roger Marshall (R)", "probability": 0.675, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 5073.89, "volume": 762163.31, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927", "leader": "≤47", "probability": 0.385, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 4813.28, "volume": 3059311.3, "end_date": "2026-11-03T17:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NY-04 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-04-house-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-04-house-election-winner", "leader": "Laura Gillen (D)", "probability": 0.9, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 4787.63, "volume": 13963.48, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MO-03 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mo-03-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mo-03-house-election-winner", "leader": "Bob Onder (R)", "probability": 0.945, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 4625.01, "volume": 40977.63, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "SD-AL House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/sd-al-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sd-al-house-election-winner", "leader": "Marty Jackley (R)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 4532.45, "volume": 37070.73, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Iowa Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iowa-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Rob Sand (D)", "probability": 0.885, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 4510.02, "volume": 128342.87, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CO-05 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/co-05-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/co-05-house-election-winner", "leader": "Jeff Crank (R)", "probability": 0.725, "change_24h": -0.03, "volume_24h": 4366.75, "volume": 20932.71, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/florida-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Ashley Moody (R)", "probability": 0.915, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 4327.48, "volume": 165672.48, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arizona Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/arizona-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Katie Hobbs (D)", "probability": 0.915, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 4127.32, "volume": 112971.91, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "KS-04 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ks-04-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ks-04-house-election-winner", "leader": "Ron Estes (R)", "probability": 0.95, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3986.54, "volume": 78414.13, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MI-07 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mi-07-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-07-house-election-winner", "leader": "William Lawrence (D)", "probability": 0.615, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_24h": 3584.89, "volume": 36423.72, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CT-03 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ct-03-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ct-03-house-election-winner", "leader": "Rosa DeLauro (D)", "probability": 0.963, "change_24h": 0.028, "volume_24h": 3528.57, "volume": 30793.29, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-19 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-19-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-19-house-election-winner", "leader": "Jim Schwartzel (R)", "probability": 0.945, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3483.79, "volume": 28435.6, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Iowa Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iowa-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Ashley Hinson (R)", "probability": 0.575, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3476.92, "volume": 729413.98, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-23-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-23-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 0-3%", "probability": 0.235, "change_24h": 0.08, "volume_24h": 3249.15, "volume": 9444.92, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/florida-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Byron Donalds (R) ", "probability": 0.765, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3174.96, "volume": 261781.02, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "SC-07 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/sc-07-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sc-07-house-election-winner", "leader": "Russell Fry (R)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3140.17, "volume": 42003.3, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Georgia Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/georgia-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Rick Jackson (R)", "probability": 0.505, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_24h": 3094.53, "volume": 152065.68, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections", "leader": "Below 190", "probability": 0.3, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 2917.2, "volume": 317617.34, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-27-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-27-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 6-9%", "probability": 0.275, "change_24h": 0.095, "volume_24h": 2849.43, "volume": 13143.7, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Ohio Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ohio-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Amy Acton (D)", "probability": 0.675, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 2847.57, "volume": 282456.59, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224", "leader": "Democrats 8-10%", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 2748.86, "volume": 153307.61, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IL-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/il-02-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-02-house-election-winner", "leader": "Donna Miller (D)", "probability": 0.959, "change_24h": -0.0085, "volume_24h": 2660.66, "volume": 36410.22, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-12-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 35-40%", "probability": 0.3, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_24h": 2536.57, "volume": 15242.17, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 0-3%", "probability": 0.23, "change_24h": 0.12, "volume_24h": 2428.51, "volume": 8415.36, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NY-17 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ny-17-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-17-house-election-winner", "leader": "Cait Conley (D)", "probability": 0.635, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 2348.2, "volume": 46837.34, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/az-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/az-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 3-6%", "probability": 0.245, "change_24h": 0.09, "volume_24h": 2317.16, "volume": 11276.7, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "UT-03 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ut-03-house-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ut-03-house-election-winner", "leader": "Celeste Maloy (R)", "probability": 0.915, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 2285.93, "volume": 15829.62, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-05 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oh-05-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-05-house-election-winner", "leader": "Bob Latta (R)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 2200.71, "volume": 53296.71, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "California Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/california-governor-election-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", "leader": "Xavier Becerra", "probability": 0.9595, "change_24h": 0.0045, "volume_24h": 2181.28, "volume": 41670790.3, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "UT-04 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ut-04-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ut-04-house-election-winner", "leader": "Mike Kennedy (R)", "probability": 0.9305, "change_24h": -0.012, "volume_24h": 2146.21, "volume": 51449.74, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "AR-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ar-02-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ar-02-house-election-winner", "leader": "French Hill (R)", "probability": 0.82, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 2123.53, "volume": 28384.54, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MN-07 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mn-07-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mn-07-house-election-winner", "leader": "Michelle Fischbach (R)", "probability": 0.9635, "change_24h": 0.0235, "volume_24h": 2066.59, "volume": 34852.04, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fall-elections-three-way-brazil-israel-us-senate-combo", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fall-elections-three-way-brazil-israel-us-senate-combo", "leader": "Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems", "probability": 0.35, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 2055.27, "volume": 2055.27, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "AL-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/al-02-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/al-02-house-election-winner", "leader": "Rhett Marques (R)", "probability": 0.745, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 2050.38, "volume": 70809.94, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which Senate races will be within 5%?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321", "leader": "Texas", "probability": 0.755, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 2035.33, "volume": 88247.73, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "2.75M-2.9M", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": -0.025, "volume_24h": 2010.99, "volume": 5640.05, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Democratic Senate odds on October 9?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-senate-odds-on-october-9-20261002t160000000z", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-senate-odds-on-october-9-20261002t160000000z", "leader": "64-66%", "probability": 0.455, "change_24h": 0.03, "volume_24h": 2009.89, "volume": 5239.05, "end_date": "2026-10-09T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/us-government-shutdown-october-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026", "leader": "Shutdown & Democratic Party", "probability": 0.9275, "change_24h": -0.0095, "volume_24h": 1939.04, "volume": 349124.47, "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alaska Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/us-midterms-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winner", "leader": "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins", "probability": 0.7445, "change_24h": -0.0075, "volume_24h": 1920.26, "volume": 1400200.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-26 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-26-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-26-house-election-winner", "leader": "Mario Díaz-Balart (R)", "probability": 0.87, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 1898.76, "volume": 82877.49, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wisconsin Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/wisconsin-governor-election-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "David Crowley (D)", "probability": 0.805, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 1856.46, "volume": 703072.29, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "ME-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/me-02-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/me-02-house-election-winner-20260720160226434", "leader": "Paul LePage (R)", "probability": 0.625, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1838.65, "volume": 28330.77, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mn-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mn-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 0-3%", "probability": 0.23, "change_24h": 0.045, "volume_24h": 1809.7, "volume": 9519.08, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 0-3%", "probability": 0.215, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_24h": 1769.43, "volume": 14988.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 50-55%", "probability": 0.1875, "change_24h": 0.073, "volume_24h": 1766.4, "volume": 13048.68, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 0-5%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 1728.97, "volume": 18824.24, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "TX-25 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-25-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-25-house-election-winner", "leader": "Roger Williams (R)", "probability": 0.9545, "change_24h": 0.0195, "volume_24h": 1718.78, "volume": 34204.93, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oh-01-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Greg Landsman (D)", "probability": 0.872, "change_24h": -0.0025, "volume_24h": 1702.83, "volume": 41009.24, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections", "leader": "22–23", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 1691.79, "volume": 701375.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Mississippi Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mississippi-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mississippi-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)", "probability": 0.905, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1649.18, "volume": 127780.62, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CA-27 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-party-will-win-the-house-race-for-the-ca-27-seat/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-race-for-the-ca-27-seat", "leader": "George Whitesides (D)", "probability": 0.95, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 1619.44, "volume": 22552.05, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CA-30 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ca-30-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ca-30-house-election-winner", "leader": "Laura Friedman (D)", "probability": 0.9545, "change_24h": -0.0065, "volume_24h": 1565.25, "volume": 32842.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Blue tsunami in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/blue-tsunami-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/blue-tsunami-in-2026", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.53, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 1558.22, "volume": 48113.75, "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NY-22 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ny-22-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-22-house-election-winner", "leader": "John Mannion (D)", "probability": 0.925, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 1528.73, "volume": 24262.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CA-14 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ca-14-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ca-14-house-election-winner", "leader": "Democratic Party", "probability": 0.9985, "change_24h": 0.023, "volume_24h": 1512.15, "volume": 42418.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 15-20%", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 1498.42, "volume": 7970.66, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MN-06 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mn-06-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mn-06-house-election-winner", "leader": "Tom Emmer (R)", "probability": 0.95, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 1481.61, "volume": 58067.07, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-35-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-35-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 0-3%", "probability": 0.1945, "change_24h": -0.0095, "volume_24h": 1433.33, "volume": 10913.01, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/al-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/al-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 55-60%", "probability": 0.3, "change_24h": 0.105, "volume_24h": 1423.62, "volume": 19613.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-california/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-california", "leader": "48", "probability": 0.73, "change_24h": 0.085, "volume_24h": 1413.42, "volume": 26097.22, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner", "leader": "Sherrod Brown (D)", "probability": 0.625, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_24h": 1405.89, "volume": 2712.88, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 60-65%", "probability": 0.455, "change_24h": 0.28, "volume_24h": 1382.64, "volume": 11813.62, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MA-09 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ma-09-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ma-09-house-election-winner", "leader": "Bill Keating (D)", "probability": 0.957, "change_24h": 0.0005, "volume_24h": 1357.47, "volume": 28255.4, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Kotek 6-9%", "probability": 0.2185, "change_24h": 0.052, "volume_24h": 1352.71, "volume": 13175.43, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/me-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/me-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.355, "change_24h": 0.13, "volume_24h": 1277.84, "volume": 9199.54, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-13 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oh-13-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-13-house-election-winner", "leader": "Emilia Sykes (D)", "probability": 0.983, "change_24h": 0.013, "volume_24h": 1264.32, "volume": 41478.38, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-07 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oh-07-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-07-house-election-winner", "leader": "Brian Poindexter (D)", "probability": 0.81, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 1264.04, "volume": 87841.36, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-michigan/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-michigan", "leader": "9", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": -0.06, "volume_24h": 1235.38, "volume": 31534.85, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 25-30%", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 1224.03, "volume": 14356.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Tennessee Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tennessee-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Bill Hagerty (R)", "probability": 0.9405, "change_24h": -0.004, "volume_24h": 1198.78, "volume": 41595.64, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NM-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nm-02-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nm-02-house-election-winner", "leader": "Gabe Vasquez (D)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1185.88, "volume": 56773.24, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mi-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": 0.03, "volume_24h": 1157.73, "volume": 15866.34, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 30-35%", "probability": 0.2975, "change_24h": 0.1035, "volume_24h": 1143.49, "volume": 14458.7, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IN-04 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-04-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-04-house-election-winner", "leader": "Jim Baird (R)", "probability": 0.945, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1115.6, "volume": 25582.28, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-14-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.3005, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 1106.93, "volume": 12054.61, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-18-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-18-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.32, "change_24h": 0.085, "volume_24h": 1091.69, "volume": 12838.63, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "KS-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ks-01-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ks-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Tracey Mann (R)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1066.71, "volume": 21182.83, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "VA-05 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/va-05-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/va-05-house-election-winner", "leader": "John McGuire (R)", "probability": 0.78, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 992.33, "volume": 112427.93, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 40-45%", "probability": 0.31, "change_24h": 0.025, "volume_24h": 987.19, "volume": 10762.19, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "2.8M-2.95M", "probability": 0.335, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 983.45, "volume": 6178.95, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ok-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ok-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 25-30%", "probability": 0.275, "change_24h": 0.075, "volume_24h": 951.99, "volume": 15292.54, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/il-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 70-75%", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": 0.0405, "volume_24h": 951.65, "volume": 10185.88, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ma-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ma-09-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 943.34, "volume": 12499.3, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CO-03 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/co-03-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/co-03-house-election-winner", "leader": "Jeff Hurd (R)", "probability": 0.725, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 942.43, "volume": 22388.21, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 0-3%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_24h": 935.05, "volume": 9196.25, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "ND-AL House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nd-al-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nd-al-house-election-winner", "leader": "Julie Fedorchak (R)", "probability": 0.958, "change_24h": -0.0035, "volume_24h": 928.49, "volume": 60900.78, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-senate-and-house-seats-will-republicans-have-after-the-midterms/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-house-seats-will-republicans-have-after-the-midterms-20260625152833634", "leader": "47–49 and 193–207", "probability": 0.3315, "change_24h": -0.016, "volume_24h": 918.84, "volume": 47876.7, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/new-york-governor-election-nassau-county-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-election-nassau-county-winner", "leader": "Bruce Blakeman (R)", "probability": 0.595, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_24h": 909.28, "volume": 25369.27, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 12-15%", "probability": 0.235, "change_24h": 0.08, "volume_24h": 902.72, "volume": 10175.3, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Dakota Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/south-dakota-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Mike Rounds (R)", "probability": 0.9215, "change_24h": -0.0165, "volume_24h": 890.62, "volume": 50333.22, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Idaho Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/idaho-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Jim Risch (R)", "probability": 0.9465, "change_24h": -0.0015, "volume_24h": 871.82, "volume": 122838.49, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nj-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nj-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 20-25%", "probability": 0.356, "change_24h": 0.151, "volume_24h": 857.05, "volume": 13283.84, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ga-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 20-25%", "probability": 0.415, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 849.72, "volume": 10063.01, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 5-10%", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": -0.08, "volume_24h": 845.69, "volume": 6918.27, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-20-house-margin-of-victory-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-20-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 45-50%", "probability": 0.35, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 841.09, "volume": 20219.03, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/or-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/or-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 20-25%", "probability": 0.31, "change_24h": -0.05, "volume_24h": 826.73, "volume": 12010.5, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CA-28 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ca-28-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ca-28-house-election-winner", "leader": "Judy Chu (D)", "probability": 0.966, "change_24h": -0.003, "volume_24h": 801.76, "volume": 142157.73, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-06 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-06-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-06-house-election-winner", "leader": "Randy Fine (R)", "probability": 0.95, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 800.0, "volume": 26884.13, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "TX-23 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-23-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-23-house-election-winner", "leader": "Brandon Herrera (R)", "probability": 0.625, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 794.27, "volume": 74689.88, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IN-09 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-09-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-09-house-election-winner", "leader": "Erin Houchin (R)", "probability": 0.945, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 782.04, "volume": 32675.96, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 9-12%", "probability": 0.185, "change_24h": -0.03, "volume_24h": 778.38, "volume": 18488.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ky-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ky-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 0-3%", "probability": 0.22, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 777.58, "volume": 11631.18, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 15-20%", "probability": 0.225, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 773.23, "volume": 10319.14, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": -0.05, "volume_24h": 767.98, "volume": 10704.98, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "TX-06 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-06-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-06-house-election-winner", "leader": "Jake Ellzey (R)", "probability": 0.954, "change_24h": 0.0015, "volume_24h": 737.77, "volume": 77880.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "UT-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ut-02-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ut-02-house-election-winner", "leader": "Blake Moore (R)", "probability": 0.935, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 730.0, "volume": 22909.47, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IN-03 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-03-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-03-house-election-winner", "leader": "Marlin Stutzman (R)", "probability": 0.949, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 720.0, "volume": 26442.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OR-02 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/or-02-house-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/or-02-house-election-winner", "leader": "Cliff Bentz (R)", "probability": 0.95, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 707.0, "volume": 12629.29, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-22 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-22-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-house-election-winner", "leader": "Pia Dandiya (D)", "probability": 0.535, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 693.65, "volume": 50726.6, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.29, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 679.25, "volume": 7853.58, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 10-15%", "probability": 0.23, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 674.86, "volume": 8216.8, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 45-50%", "probability": 0.26, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 666.51, "volume": 10929.44, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ny-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.3215, "change_24h": 0.101, "volume_24h": 665.34, "volume": 10151.07, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260804181547915", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260804181547915", "leader": "Jackson 3-6%", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_24h": 663.08, "volume": 12876.02, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pa-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 55-60%", "probability": 0.226, "change_24h": 0.0035, "volume_24h": 661.45, "volume": 8429.05, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-07 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-07-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-07-house-election-winner", "leader": "Ryan Elijah (R)", "probability": 0.65, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 656.7, "volume": 26588.67, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nm-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nm-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 30-35%", "probability": 0.2725, "change_24h": 0.111, "volume_24h": 654.85, "volume": 8737.91, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oregon Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oregon-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Tina Kotek (D)", "probability": 0.755, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 652.98, "volume": 77146.09, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.05M+", "probability": 0.2835, "change_24h": -0.033, "volume_24h": 650.94, "volume": 16193.94, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "WI-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wi-01-house-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wi-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Bryan Steil (R)", "probability": 0.625, "change_24h": -0.025, "volume_24h": 649.96, "volume": 14070.44, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/va-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/va-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 20-25%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": -0.05, "volume_24h": 648.76, "volume": 6903.72, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ma-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ma-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 30-35%", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 646.72, "volume": 12141.42, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ca-07-house-election-winner-by-individual/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ca-07-house-election-winner-by-individual-20260706153650362", "leader": "Doris Matsui", "probability": 0.58, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 637.01, "volume": 21570.6, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 3-6%", "probability": 0.2455, "change_24h": -0.096, "volume_24h": 633.69, "volume": 11583.57, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NJ-09 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nj-09-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nj-09-house-election-winner", "leader": "Nellie Pou (D)", "probability": 0.977, "change_24h": 0.009, "volume_24h": 632.85, "volume": 40102.04, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nc-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 3-6%", "probability": 0.195, "change_24h": 0.055, "volume_24h": 609.69, "volume": 8503.51, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Hampshire Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/new-hampshire-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Chris Pappas (D)", "probability": 0.87, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 607.86, "volume": 308235.46, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CA-06 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ca-06-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ca-06-house-election-winner", "leader": "Democratic Party", "probability": 0.949, "change_24h": -0.0075, "volume_24h": 606.78, "volume": 53942.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ohio-senate-election-turnout/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "4.8M-4.95M", "probability": 0.3445, "change_24h": 0.117, "volume_24h": 602.96, "volume": 26473.97, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-jersey-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-jersey-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 21%+", "probability": 0.585, "change_24h": 0.045, "volume_24h": 596.99, "volume": 10671.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "FL-28 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fl-28-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fl-28-house-election-winner", "leader": "Carlos Giménez (R)", "probability": 0.94, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 578.0, "volume": 58233.78, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/michigan-governor-election-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Jocelyn Benson (D)", "probability": 0.941, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 561.16, "volume": 245301.39, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-denton-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-denton-county-winner", "leader": "James Talarico (D)", "probability": 0.61, "change_24h": 0.055, "volume_24h": 553.32, "volume": 5163.43, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ar-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ar-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 35-40%", "probability": 0.34, "change_24h": 0.105, "volume_24h": 546.42, "volume": 20429.49, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 35-40%", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_24h": 542.76, "volume": 7193.5, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NM-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nm-01-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nm-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Melanie Stansbury (D)", "probability": 0.959, "change_24h": -0.001, "volume_24h": 535.0, "volume": 44232.73, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "CT-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ct-01-house-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ct-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Luke Bronin (D)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": -0.0075, "volume_24h": 529.03, "volume": 12483.18, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.38, "change_24h": 0.155, "volume_24h": 528.37, "volume": 7147.96, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oh-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 18-21%", "probability": 0.235, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 521.96, "volume": 12435.69, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "375K-400K", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 521.95, "volume": 11888.06, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ok-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 30-35%", "probability": 0.271, "change_24h": 0.0545, "volume_24h": 517.77, "volume": 10693.95, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "NE-01 House Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ne-01-house-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ne-01-house-election-winner", "leader": "Mike Flood (R)", "probability": 0.86, "change_24h": 0.035, "volume_24h": 516.49, "volume": 43606.13, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alabama Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.7M-1.8M", "probability": 0.2865, "change_24h": 0.037, "volume_24h": 499.03, "volume": 14673.73, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Georgia Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/events/us-midterms-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Jon Ossoff (D) ", "probability": 0.9605, "change_24h": -0.0115, "volume_24h": 495.6, "volume": 206233.81, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 15-20%", "probability": 0.375, "change_24h": 0.05, "volume_24h": 488.38, "volume": 9227.83, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-collin-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-collin-county-winner", "leader": "James Talarico (D)", "probability": 0.75, "change_24h": 0.055, "volume_24h": 487.03, "volume": 6730.63, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-republicans-win-any-senate-or-governors-election-in-a-biden-trump-state", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-republicans-win-any-senate-or-governors-election-in-a-biden-trump-state", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.65, "change_24h": 0.03, "volume_24h": 476.0, "volume": 9350.59, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-tarrant-county-winner", "leader": "James Talarico (D)", "probability": 0.9885, "change_24h": 0.0095, "volume_24h": 456.35, "volume": 13188.03, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.3, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 435.41, "volume": 18985.53, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "750K-800K", "probability": 0.375, "change_24h": 0.095, "volume_24h": 417.79, "volume": 11363.94, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 5-10%", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 412.51, "volume": 12881.27, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "North Carolina Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/north-carolina-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Roy Cooper (D)", "probability": 0.962, "change_24h": -0.0055, "volume_24h": 405.85, "volume": 214742.38, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Crowley 3-6%", "probability": 0.285, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 405.17, "volume": 11642.79, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nebraska Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Jim Pillen (R)", "probability": 0.89, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 402.09, "volume": 19727.88, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 40-45%", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 374.32, "volume": 13005.62, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "370K-400K", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 357.62, "volume": 16220.34, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "650K-700K", "probability": 0.33, "change_24h": -0.13, "volume_24h": 351.3, "volume": 11838.7, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Mexico Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-senate-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Ben Ray Luján (D)", "probability": 0.974, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 345.99, "volume": 26455.14, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-turnout-first-round", "leader": "275K-290K", "probability": 0.28, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 336.0, "volume": 10854.06, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Moody 6-9%", "probability": 0.25, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 327.88, "volume": 13648.41, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 25-30%", "probability": 0.31, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 322.33, "volume": 20622.24, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kansas Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.1M-1.2M", "probability": 0.49, "change_24h": 0.055, "volume_24h": 317.99, "volume": 6791.2, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 5-10%", "probability": 0.22, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 316.25, "volume": 5750.7, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Virginia Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "3.25M-3.5M", "probability": 0.24, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 307.17, "volume": 6160.82, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New York Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/new-york-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Kathy Hochul (D)", "probability": 0.961, "change_24h": 0.006, "volume_24h": 305.82, "volume": 162818.57, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260804175717495", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260804175717495", "leader": "Ossoff 9-12%", "probability": 0.195, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 300.64, "volume": 10582.38, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-governor-elections-will-republicans-win-in-states-won-by-kamala-20260702152603469", "leader": "2", "probability": 0.42, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 300.42, "volume": 42354.78, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-fresno-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-fresno-county-winner", "leader": "Steve Hilton", "probability": 0.655, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 288.0, "volume": 11602.04, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Paxton 0-3%", "probability": 0.24, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 280.0, "volume": 11268.99, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.6M-1.8M", "probability": 0.445, "change_24h": -0.03, "volume_24h": 271.04, "volume": 8301.81, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Ford 0-3%", "probability": 0.25, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 270.26, "volume": 10255.08, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.5M-1.6M", "probability": 0.335, "change_24h": 0.05, "volume_24h": 250.01, "volume": 8120.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Abbott 0-3%", "probability": 0.215, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 248.33, "volume": 6720.57, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kansas Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kansas-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Ty Masterson (R)", "probability": 0.735, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 241.57, "volume": 50517.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Turek 0-3%", "probability": 0.345, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 235.0, "volume": 9537.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.4M-1.5M", "probability": 0.335, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 230.03, "volume": 14665.34, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "650K-700K", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 226.21, "volume": 5975.14, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 20-25%", "probability": 0.242, "change_24h": 0.013, "volume_24h": 221.19, "volume": 9775.08, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Colorado Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "2.55M-2.7M", "probability": 0.29, "change_24h": -0.045, "volume_24h": 220.78, "volume": 10828.25, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Sand 6-9%", "probability": 0.245, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 213.65, "volume": 9933.36, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oregon Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "2M-2.1M", "probability": 0.37, "change_24h": 0.055, "volume_24h": 205.2, "volume": 15175.41, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 15-20%", "probability": 0.32, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 195.95, "volume": 13347.25, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Minnesota Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/minnesota-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Amy Klobuchar (D)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 194.44, "volume": 87853.04, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-election-washoe-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-election-washoe-county-winner", "leader": "Aaron Ford (D)", "probability": 0.635, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 192.8, "volume": 4837.04, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Louisiana Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/louisiana-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Julia Letlow (R)", "probability": 0.93, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 188.06, "volume": 48057.26, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Vermont Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vermont-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "325K-350K", "probability": 0.3725, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 183.49, "volume": 9498.45, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Massachusetts Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/massachusetts-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Maura Healey (D)", "probability": 0.9615, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 180.0, "volume": 96031.4, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "California Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Becerra 25-30%", "probability": 0.3575, "change_24h": -0.0115, "volume_24h": 179.71, "volume": 14237.4, "end_date": "2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election: Kent County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-kent-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-kent-county-winner", "leader": "Abdul El-Sayed (D)", "probability": 0.845, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 177.67, "volume": 2577.15, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Hickenlooper 25-30%", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 171.85, "volume": 7351.48, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.405, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 167.77, "volume": 7922.3, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Montana Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/montana-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "500K-550K", "probability": 0.455, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 160.0, "volume": 6548.51, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 20-25%", "probability": 0.285, "change_24h": -0.13, "volume_24h": 159.93, "volume": 7349.2, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arizona Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "2.6M-2.75M", "probability": 0.345, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 153.1, "volume": 11094.47, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "4.8M-5M", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 151.06, "volume": 16846.03, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25%+", "probability": 0.365, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 145.97, "volume": 216.96, "end_date": "2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/massachusetts-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 35-40%", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 142.5, "volume": 12336.02, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "2M-2.2M", "probability": 0.365, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 140.0, "volume": 13221.09, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Colorado Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/colorado-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-election-winner", "leader": "John Hickenlooper (D)", "probability": 0.9795, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 139.85, "volume": 51341.12, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Rhode Island Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Helena Foulkes (D)", "probability": 0.9705, "change_24h": 0.0045, "volume_24h": 137.1, "volume": 70123.04, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "4.1M-4.3M", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 133.4, "volume": 14356.99, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 30-35%", "probability": 0.245, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 133.19, "volume": 9813.69, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Iowa Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.45M-1.5M", "probability": 0.3085, "change_24h": 0.006, "volume_24h": 127.64, "volume": 11787.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "El-Sayed 6-9%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 123.16, "volume": 3421.01, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "1.1M-1.2M", "probability": 0.395, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 122.68, "volume": 8930.13, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New York Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 15-20%", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 120.0, "volume": 5384.76, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "2.6M-2.8M", "probability": 0.36, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 117.33, "volume": 11721.56, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Marshall 0-5%", "probability": 0.345, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 117.19, "volume": 6439.6, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Acton 0-3%", "probability": 0.225, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 116.0, "volume": 12578.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 25-30%", "probability": 0.31, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 107.35, "volume": 9842.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mississippi-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260804182229477", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mississippi-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260804182229477", "leader": "Republican 5-10%", "probability": 0.215, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_24h": 106.0, "volume": 7068.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-oakland-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-oakland-county-winner", "leader": "Abdul El-Sayed (D)", "probability": 0.895, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 102.0, "volume": 1152.25, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mississippi-senate-election-turnout-first-round", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mississippi-senate-election-turnout-first-round", "leader": "800K-900K", "probability": 0.485, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 100.23, "volume": 6997.61, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maryland Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "1.85M-2M", "probability": 0.32, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 97.96, "volume": 8015.31, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.25, "change_24h": -0.025, "volume_24h": 94.9, "volume": 6669.16, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 21%+", "probability": 0.485, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 90.37, "volume": 10401.67, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Dakota Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Larry Rhoden (R)", "probability": 0.9655, "change_24h": -0.003, "volume_24h": 89.0, "volume": 26918.94, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/west-virginia-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/west-virginia-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "450K-500K", "probability": 0.445, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 88.75, "volume": 5727.54, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arkansas Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/arkansas-senate-election-winner/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Tom Cotton (R) ", "probability": 0.936, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 81.05, "volume": 34594.24, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round", "leader": "Peltola 0-3%", "probability": 0.335, "change_24h": 0.03, "volume_24h": 80.12, "volume": 3214.07, "end_date": "2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kansas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Masterson 9-12%", "probability": 0.192, "change_24h": -0.007, "volume_24h": 80.1, "volume": 10669.52, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-jersey-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-jersey-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "3M-3.2M", "probability": 0.445, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 80.0, "volume": 6771.8, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Hobbs 6-9%", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 79.96, "volume": 9406.24, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-broward-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-broward-county-winner", "leader": "Angie Nixon (D)", "probability": 0.993, "change_24h": 0.0055, "volume_24h": 71.05, "volume": 7586.51, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Graham 0-5%", "probability": 0.33, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 69.12, "volume": 6797.26, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 20-25%", "probability": 0.265, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 68.89, "volume": 8554.36, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oklahoma Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-senate-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Kevin Hern (R)", "probability": 0.9835, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 62.03, "volume": 26584.11, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-governor-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260805183754447", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-governor-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260805183754447", "leader": "Jackson 0-3%", "probability": 0.23, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 61.0, "volume": 6780.62, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "4.25M-4.5M", "probability": 0.38, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 59.15, "volume": 11413.27, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Ayotte 12-15%", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 52.1, "volume": 7837.68, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 51.14, "volume": 4509.25, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oklahoma Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Mike Mazzei (R)", "probability": 0.925, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 50.0, "volume": 31914.92, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Benson 9-12%", "probability": 0.2, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 50.0, "volume": 9915.41, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Virginia Senate Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-senate-election-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-senate-election-winner", "leader": "Mark Warner (D)", "probability": 0.9805, "change_24h": 0.002, "volume_24h": 41.0, "volume": 23699.17, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Delaware Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "375K-400K", "probability": 0.2385, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 40.12, "volume": 14681.2, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 30%+", "probability": 0.605, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 40.11, "volume": 9502.58, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "9M+", "probability": 0.341, "change_24h": 0.0265, "volume_24h": 40.02, "volume": 12529.02, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 40-45%", "probability": 0.22, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 40.0, "volume": 12125.75, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Alabama Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/alabama-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Tommy Tuberville (R)", "probability": 0.923, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 34.7, "volume": 24588.47, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/west-virginia-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/west-virginia-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 30-35%", "probability": 0.285, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 32.63, "volume": 13407.5, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Brown 3-6%", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 30.37, "volume": 8730.77, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "190K-210K", "probability": 0.43, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 25.0, "volume": 6969.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Idaho Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/idaho-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Brad Little (R)", "probability": 0.9795, "change_24h": -0.0035, "volume_24h": 24.89, "volume": 26562.52, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oregon-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 30-35%", "probability": 0.2735, "change_24h": -0.0095, "volume_24h": 20.0, "volume": 4362.15, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "5M-5.5M", "probability": 0.455, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 15.69, "volume": 10230.49, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 10-15%", "probability": 0.295, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 15.47, "volume": 16761.01, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Josh Shapiro (D)", "probability": 0.969, "change_24h": -0.0015, "volume_24h": 14.5, "volume": 50271.12, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-miami-dade-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-miami-dade-county-winner", "leader": "Angie Nixon (D)", "probability": 0.495, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 11.67, "volume": 6311.33, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Hawaii Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Josh Green (D)", "probability": 0.982, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 11.25, "volume": 16411.53, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "California Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "13M-13.5M", "probability": 0.405, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 7.0, "volume": 6971.83, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 30-35%", "probability": 0.275, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 6.0, "volume": 8367.23, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Donalds 3-6%", "probability": 0.195, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 3.0, "volume": 15276.11, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-senate-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 20-25%", "probability": 0.32, "change_24h": 0.05, "volume_24h": 1.66, "volume": 3867.87, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Mexico Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/new-mexico-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Deb Haaland (D)", "probability": 0.955, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 42403.35, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Hampshire Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/new-hampshire-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Kelly Ayotte (R)", "probability": 0.954, "change_24h": 0.0005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 41092.76, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maine Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maine-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Hannah Pingree (D)", "probability": 0.9495, "change_24h": -0.0035, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 35912.38, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maryland Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maryland-governor-winner-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Wes Moore (D)", "probability": 0.967, "change_24h": 0.0005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 23368.9, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Carolina Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Alan Wilson (R)", "probability": 0.945, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 18891.05, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Colorado Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Phil Weiser (D)", "probability": 0.964, "change_24h": -0.004, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 17168.55, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Tennessee Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Marsha Blackburn (R)", "probability": 0.9555, "change_24h": -0.004, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 16525.71, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "1.125M-1.2M", "probability": 0.44, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 14418.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Illinois Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/illinois-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "JB Pritzker (D)", "probability": 0.977, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 12175.91, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Wyoming Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wyoming-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Eric Barlow (R)", "probability": 0.9735, "change_24h": 0.003, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 11626.28, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-dakota-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 20-25%", "probability": 0.315, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 11196.53, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Idaho Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "600K-640K", "probability": 0.335, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 11064.59, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arkansas Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)", "probability": 0.968, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 11039.67, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Connecticut Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-winner-2026", "leader": "Ned Lamont (D)", "probability": 0.9655, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 9362.93, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 10-15%", "probability": 0.35, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 9188.86, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/rhode-island-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "350K-400K", "probability": 0.5795, "change_24h": 0.032, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 8307.11, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-hold-more-governorships-after-the-midterms", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-hold-more-governorships-after-the-midterms", "leader": "Democratic Party", "probability": 0.695, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 8286.18, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-turnout-first-round", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-turnout-first-round", "leader": "4.2M-4.4M", "probability": 0.44, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 8234.37, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 15-20%", "probability": 0.25, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 7995.69, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "1.2M-1.3M", "probability": 0.445, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 7944.33, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 10-15%", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 7464.41, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "750K-800K", "probability": 0.415, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 7432.93, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tennessee-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Republican 15-20%", "probability": 0.235, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 7018.46, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-turnout", "leader": "9.6M-10M", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 6519.22, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New York Governor Election: Turnout", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-election-turnout", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-election-turnout", "leader": "6M-6.5M", "probability": 0.39, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 6392.07, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-fort-bend-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-fort-bend-county-winner", "leader": "James Talarico (D)", "probability": 0.9635, "change_24h": -0.0015, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 5333.68, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Nevada Governor Election: Clark County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-election-clark-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-governor-election-clark-county-winner", "leader": "Aaron Ford (D)", "probability": 0.905, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 4414.2, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-election-maricopa-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-governor-election-maricopa-county-winner", "leader": "Katie Hobbs (D)", "probability": 0.875, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 4320.99, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-georgia-governor-election", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-georgia-governor-election", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.789, "change_24h": 0.122, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 4108.32, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maine-governor-margin-of-victory-2026", "leader": "Democrat 10-15%", "probability": 0.26, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 3515.29, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-genesee-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-genesee-county-winner", "leader": "Abdul El-Sayed (D)", "probability": 0.845, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 3226.11, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-grand-traverse-county-winner", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-senate-election-grand-traverse-county-winner", "leader": "Abdul El-Sayed (D)", "probability": 0.635, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 2258.39, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Guam Governor Election Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/guam-governor-election-winner-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/guam-governor-election-winner-2026", "leader": "Therese Terlaje (D)", "probability": 0.685, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 1865.25, "end_date": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-georgia-senate-election", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-georgia-senate-election", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.6085, "change_24h": 0.003, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 169.0, "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00" } ], "license": "CC BY 4.0", "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "attribution": { "required": true, "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/midterms/", "html": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com" }, "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket." }