{
 "slug": "middle-east",
 "topic": "Middle East",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/middle-east/",
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "count": 108,
 "volume_24h": 1643042.78,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "middle-east",
  "yemen",
  "houthis",
  "houthi",
  "saudi-arabia",
  "red-sea"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election",
   "leader": "Gadi Eizenkot",
   "probability": 0.4815,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume_24h": 412860.04,
   "volume": 43539747.12,
   "end_date": "2026-10-28T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 312576.45,
   "volume": 72185075.64,
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  },
  {
   "title": "US-Iran ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through October 5",
   "probability": 0.999,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume_24h": 174488.62,
   "volume": 6385813.96,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 118534.73,
   "volume": 16507174.7,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 116697.71,
   "volume": 26836836.99,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Lebanon?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-2026",
   "leader": "October 23",
   "probability": 0.91,
   "change_24h": 0.175,
   "volume_24h": 75113.36,
   "volume": 103181.28,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026",
   "leader": "October 4",
   "probability": 0.945,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 56320.84,
   "volume": 290196.23,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis enter Aden?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthis-enter-aden/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-aden-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 50769.51,
   "volume": 458749.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran leader end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leader-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Mojtaba Khamenei",
   "probability": 0.8805,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume_24h": 45638.86,
   "volume": 39896695.84,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T17:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "leader": "Somaliland",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": 0.07,
   "volume_24h": 36808.15,
   "volume": 1734406.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 35098.03,
   "volume": 19600073.16,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.375,
   "change_24h": 0.055,
   "volume_24h": 29850.85,
   "volume": 87569.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Iraq?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-iran-target-iraq/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-iraq-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.9995,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 29002.27,
   "volume": 210594.64,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi airspace closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-airspace-closed/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-airspace-closed-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 21947.54,
   "volume": 83302.8,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 17683.58,
   "volume": 119455.49,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.03,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 7688.3,
   "volume": 248371.13,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Israeli Minister of Defense?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-defense",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-defense",
   "leader": "No Next Minister by Feb 28",
   "probability": 0.3135,
   "change_24h": -0.0415,
   "volume_24h": 7642.91,
   "volume": 16557.59,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 6665.66,
   "volume": 770496.05,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Pakistan military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/pakistan-military-action-against-yemen/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pakistan-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": 0.225,
   "volume_24h": 6357.78,
   "volume": 35478.75,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-october",
   "leader": "25-29",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": -0.11,
   "volume_24h": 6254.56,
   "volume": 12410.99,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Yemen ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through October 9",
   "probability": 0.9565,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume_24h": 5730.75,
   "volume": 111376.33,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 4693.18,
   "volume": 7299569.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 4468.44,
   "volume": 18020266.34,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.24,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 4423.88,
   "volume": 70395.68,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-x-saudi-arabia-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-x-saudi-arabia-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-20260916",
   "leader": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.0885,
   "change_24h": 0.029,
   "volume_24h": 4064.89,
   "volume": 17495.94,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran Nuke before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-nuke-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.037,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 3290.3,
   "volume": 1355376.56,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Israeli Minister of Justice?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice",
   "leader": "No Next Minister by Feb 28",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 2812.06,
   "volume": 17939.01,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu out?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/netanyahu-out-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-out-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.39,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 2548.57,
   "volume": 124501878.01,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.044,
   "change_24h": -0.016,
   "volume_24h": 2518.75,
   "volume": 448046.26,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-october-2026",
   "leader": "October 5",
   "probability": 0.755,
   "change_24h": 0.41,
   "volume_24h": 2436.83,
   "volume": 8857.97,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target an Arab country?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-iran-target-an-arab-country/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-an-arab-country-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.9995,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2208.19,
   "volume": 160278.09,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.032,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume_24h": 2080.98,
   "volume": 7834080.16,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Israeli Minister of National Security?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-national-security",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-national-security",
   "leader": "No Next Minister by Feb 28",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume_24h": 2061.86,
   "volume": 18063.3,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/foreign-intervention-in-gaza/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 2027.66,
   "volume": 1104797.49,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.032,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume_24h": 1991.35,
   "volume": 641226.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1866.11,
   "volume": 470108.6,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026",
   "leader": "4",
   "probability": 0.676,
   "change_24h": -0.1025,
   "volume_24h": 1852.53,
   "volume": 7570142.71,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-israeli-minister-of-foreign-affairs/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-foreign-affairs",
   "leader": "No Next Minister by Feb 28",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1817.2,
   "volume": 27789.97,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-hw-bush-in-centcom-onptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-hw-bush-in-centcom-onptptpt",
   "leader": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.675,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 1556.11,
   "volume": 4674.79,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-october-5",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-october-5",
   "leader": "190-209",
   "probability": 0.41,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 1306.44,
   "volume": 5209.21,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 1272.75,
   "volume": 13828.97,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis enter Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.26,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1232.16,
   "volume": 59745.12,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-military-action-against-yemen/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.25,
   "change_24h": -0.06,
   "volume_24h": 989.35,
   "volume": 327175.98,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 972.72,
   "volume": 9185.98,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Mecca?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-mecca-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-mecca-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 859.05,
   "volume": 6105.77,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0645,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 846.53,
   "volume": 120525.78,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": -0.085,
   "volume_24h": 844.32,
   "volume": 55906.54,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 700.0,
   "volume": 189206.43,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Jordan?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-jordan-by-20260909",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-jordan-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": -0.23,
   "volume_24h": 659.19,
   "volume": 11275.71,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USS George Washington departs CENTCOM?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uss-george-washington-departs-centcom/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-washington-departs-centcom-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 593.91,
   "volume": 34991.11,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-october/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-october",
   "leader": "2.8M+",
   "probability": 0.765,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 568.28,
   "volume": 24820.27,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-join-the-mecca-agreement-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-join-the-mecca-agreement-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Kuwait",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 541.31,
   "volume": 67366.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/flydubai-co-pilot-transferred-to-israel-by-octpt-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/flydubai-co-pilot-transferred-to-israel-by-octpt-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0285,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 527.46,
   "volume": 9676.02,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Israeli Minister of Interior?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior",
   "leader": "No Next Minister by Feb 28",
   "probability": 0.32,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 495.25,
   "volume": 7948.9,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 495.14,
   "volume": 13301.29,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yashar vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-vote-share",
   "leader": "18-20%",
   "probability": 0.28,
   "change_24h": -0.09,
   "volume_24h": 470.92,
   "volume": 2977.51,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Venezuela",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 457.65,
   "volume": 825582.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Iraq?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-by-20260922",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-by-20260922",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.1305,
   "change_24h": 0.097,
   "volume_24h": 445.03,
   "volume": 2883.82,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0525,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 407.9,
   "volume": 4884.75,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0605,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 370.0,
   "volume": 2282.95,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.42,
   "change_24h": -0.065,
   "volume_24h": 361.69,
   "volume": 4382.67,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Syria normalize relations?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 353.32,
   "volume": 2150533.2,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0435,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 340.04,
   "volume": 22155404.69,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-marib-governorate-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-marib-governorate-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.18,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 334.84,
   "volume": 12876.31,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Israel?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthi-military-action-against-israel/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": 0.125,
   "volume_24h": 321.34,
   "volume": 244599.12,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of December?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december",
   "leader": "3.0 - 3.5M",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 298.65,
   "volume": 103141.55,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0555,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 271.09,
   "volume": 3498623.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Dems # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.28,
   "change_24h": -0.085,
   "volume_24h": 261.58,
   "volume": 3539.11,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 254.15,
   "volume": 1885830.71,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By November 30",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 232.33,
   "volume": 94150.12,
   "end_date": "2026-11-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi troops enter Sanaa?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-sanaa-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-sanaa-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 226.48,
   "volume": 9077.0,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Together # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-10",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": 0.095,
   "volume_24h": 181.27,
   "volume": 6041.77,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Israeli Minister of Finance?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-finance",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-finance",
   "leader": "No Next Minister by Feb 28",
   "probability": 0.35,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 173.88,
   "volume": 18353.99,
   "end_date": "2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",
   "leader": "<4",
   "probability": 0.5,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 159.2,
   "volume": 7598.57,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0425,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 1833007.0,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 139.21,
   "volume": 186314.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi troops enter Taiz?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-taiz-governorate-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-taiz-governorate-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 124.44,
   "volume": 13126.56,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0225,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 115.86,
   "volume": 195270.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 112.54,
   "volume": 321067.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats",
   "leader": "5",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 100.0,
   "volume": 8353.32,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-united-arab-emirates-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-united-arab-emirates-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By November 30",
   "probability": 0.525,
   "change_24h": -0.095,
   "volume_24h": 95.0,
   "volume": 14808.05,
   "end_date": "2026-11-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 94.63,
   "volume": 4067832.81,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any country join the Mecca Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-any-country-join-the-mecca-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-join-the-mecca-agreement-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 91.06,
   "volume": 64678.51,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-military-action-against-syria-by-21/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "leader": "By November 30",
   "probability": 0.69,
   "change_24h": 0.335,
   "volume_24h": 88.0,
   "volume": 79354.98,
   "end_date": "2026-11-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran coup attempt?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 77.61,
   "volume": 2145550.47,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mahmoud-abbas-out-as-palestinian-president-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mahmoud-abbas-out-as-palestinian-president-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume_24h": 74.21,
   "volume": 142738.91,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis seize an oil tanker?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 59.35,
   "volume": 144012.79,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats",
   "leader": "<20",
   "probability": 0.305,
   "change_24h": 0.0745,
   "volume_24h": 53.67,
   "volume": 12472.76,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By November 30",
   "probability": 0.978,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 53.67,
   "volume": 2540.45,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-iran-target-syria/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-syria-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.067,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume_24h": 46.28,
   "volume": 44049.8,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis successfully target shipping?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthis-successfully-target-shipping-byl/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-successfully-target-shipping-bylptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 42.0,
   "volume": 129271.53,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Masoud Pezeshkian out?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/masoud-pezeshkian-out/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 41.54,
   "volume": 872433.31,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran invades Kuwait?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-invades-kuwait/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 40.0,
   "volume": 1102304.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Oman?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-iran-target-oman/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-oman-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.0595,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume_24h": 37.5,
   "volume": 44393.55,
   "end_date": "2026-11-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uae-x-qatar-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uae-x-qatar-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 29.0,
   "volume": 353115.29,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 25.16,
   "volume": 101303.95,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-ground-operation-in-iran-confirmed/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-ground-operation-in-iran-confirmed-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 17.31,
   "volume": 1750936.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/joseph-aoun-out-as-president-of-lebanon-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/joseph-aoun-out-as-president-of-lebanon-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0565,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 16.93,
   "volume": 32712.0,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ahmed-al-sharaa-out-as-leader-of-syria-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ahmed-al-sharaa-out-as-leader-of-syria-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 13.4,
   "volume": 70896.81,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-utj-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-utj-of-seats",
   "leader": "7-8",
   "probability": 0.705,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 10.0,
   "volume": 7331.42,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",
   "leader": "6-7",
   "probability": 0.38,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 10.0,
   "volume": 3822.7,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.345,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 7.04,
   "volume": 6507.71,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi Arabia military action against Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-iran-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-iran-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 2.76,
   "volume": 3184.63,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:29:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uae-x-saudi-arabia-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uae-x-saudi-arabia-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 114625.68,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 40307.6,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "OPEC dissolves in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/opec-dissolves-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/opec-dissolves-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 39538.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-troops-fighting-in-yemen-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-troops-fighting-in-yemen-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0435,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 18417.89,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-uk-or-germany-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260914",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-uk-or-germany-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260914",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 11448.83,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/middle-east/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/middle-east/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}