{
 "slug": "fed-rates",
 "topic": "Fed & Interest Rates",
 "category": "economy",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-rates/",
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "count": 49,
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  "fed-rates",
  "fed",
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  "jerome-powell",
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  {
   "title": "Another Fed rate hike in 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
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  {
   "title": "How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?",
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   "title": "Fed rate cut?",
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  {
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  {
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  {
   "title": "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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  {
   "title": "What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?",
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  {
   "title": "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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   "leader": "Below 5.49%",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 4.7%",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 5.20%",
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   "title": "Reserve Bank of India decision in October",
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  {
   "title": "How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "leader": "5.32%",
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  {
   "title": "Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?",
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   "leader": "Yes",
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  {
   "title": "How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-2-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027",
   "leader": "4.90%",
   "probability": 0.815,
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  {
   "title": "How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october",
   "leader": "Below 4.95%",
   "probability": 0.575,
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   "volume_24h": 1033.03,
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  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of India decision in December",
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   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.43,
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  {
   "title": "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?",
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  {
   "title": "Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026",
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   "leader": "3.0%+",
   "probability": 0.714,
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  {
   "title": "How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?",
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   "leader": "0",
   "probability": 0.6,
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  {
   "title": "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "5.67%",
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  {
   "title": "How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-2-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "4.86%",
   "probability": 0.875,
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  {
   "title": "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "5.08%",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-2-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 4.70%",
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  {
   "title": "No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/no-change-or-hike-25-bps-favored-on-october-27",
   "leader": "No change",
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  {
   "title": "How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-october-fed-meeting",
   "leader": "0",
   "probability": 0.24,
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   "volume_24h": 147.0,
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  {
   "title": "ECB Interest Rates: December 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026/",
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   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.745,
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  {
   "title": "Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?",
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   "probability": 0.095,
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  {
   "title": "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?",
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   "leader": "0",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 4.50%",
   "probability": 0.185,
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  {
   "title": "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2027",
   "leader": "4.75%",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 21.96,
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  {
   "title": "Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0205,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 11.95,
   "volume": 30266.83,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jerome Powell federally charged?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/jerome-powell-federally-charged-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-federally-charged-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0135,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 319403.99,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 34785.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-cook-officially-out-as-fed-governor-byptptpt-20260807214943167",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 25318.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Fed abolished before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-abolished-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-abolished-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 8168.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump publicly insults Warsh?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-publicly-insults-warsh-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-publicly-insults-warsh-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 7693.34,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-in-jail-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-in-jail-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0285,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 5740.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-jerome-powell-join-an-ai-company-in-2026-20260710193608891",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-jerome-powell-join-an-ai-company-in-2026-20260710193608891",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 518.18,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-rates/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-rates/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}