{
 "slug": "economy",
 "topic": "US Economy",
 "category": "economy",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/economy/",
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "count": 140,
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 "polymarket_tags": [
  "economy",
  "macro-indicators",
  "economic-policy",
  "gdp",
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  "jobs",
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   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?",
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   "title": "Fed Decision in December?",
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  {
   "title": "ECB Interest Rates: October 2026",
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  {
   "title": "Largest Company end of October 2026?",
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   "title": "Fed Decision in January?",
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  {
   "title": "Another Fed rate hike in 2026?",
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   "title": "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
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  {
   "title": "Largest Company end of December 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "US recession by end of 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)",
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  {
   "title": "Fed rate cut?",
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  {
   "title": "Which companies will the US take a stake in?",
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   "leader": "Unusual Machines",
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  {
   "title": "Core PCE YoY - September 2026",
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   "leader": "3.0%",
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  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?",
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  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?",
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  {
   "title": "Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)",
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   "leader": "Pause-Hike-Pause",
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  {
   "title": "Bank of Brazil decision in December?",
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  {
   "title": "Bank of England decision in November?",
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  {
   "title": "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?",
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   "leader": "4.25%",
   "probability": 0.6735,
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  {
   "title": "September Inflation UK - Annual",
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   "leader": "3.1-3.3%",
   "probability": 0.36,
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  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in Miami be on December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-miami-be-on-december-31",
   "leader": "$870K+",
   "probability": 0.195,
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  {
   "title": "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
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   "leader": "5.10%",
   "probability": 0.81,
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   "volume_24h": 3173.54,
   "volume": 69921.39,
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  {
   "title": "EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-emergency-diesel-stocks-end-of-october-2026",
   "leader": "30M+",
   "probability": 0.964,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 2994.14,
   "volume": 28377.99,
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  {
   "title": "September Inflation US - Annual",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-us-annual",
   "leader": "3.6%",
   "probability": 0.475,
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   "volume_24h": 2979.84,
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  {
   "title": "Swiss National Bank decision in December?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-national-bank-decision-in-december-2026",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.78,
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   "volume_24h": 2689.8,
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  {
   "title": "Central Bank of Colombia decision in October",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-october",
   "leader": "No change",
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  {
   "title": "JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026",
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   "probability": 0.225,
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  {
   "title": "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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   "leader": "Below 5.18%",
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  {
   "title": "What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?",
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   "leader": " ↑ 4.25%",
   "probability": 0.768,
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  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?",
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  {
   "title": "EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-emergency-diesel-stocks-end-of-december-2026",
   "leader": "30M+",
   "probability": 0.815,
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  },
  {
   "title": "3rd Largest Company end of October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-october",
   "leader": "Alphabet",
   "probability": 0.88,
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   "volume_24h": 2209.18,
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  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-november",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.85,
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   "volume_24h": 2134.72,
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  {
   "title": "EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-emergency-diesel-stocks-end-of-november-2026",
   "leader": "30M+",
   "probability": 0.865,
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  {
   "title": "2026 World GDP Growth",
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   "leader": "≤2.9%",
   "probability": 0.2835,
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  {
   "title": "Which banks will fail by end of 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "US GDP growth in Q3 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)",
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  {
   "title": "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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   "leader": "Below 5.49%",
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  {
   "title": "GDP growth in 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gdp-growth-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gdp-growth-in-2026",
   "leader": "2.0–2.5%",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1462.85,
   "volume": 88272.97,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-december-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-december-2026",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.665,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1449.14,
   "volume": 1449.14,
   "end_date": "2026-12-08T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-new-york-city-be-on-december-31",
   "leader": "$510K+",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume_24h": 1395.23,
   "volume": 6159.86,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Brazil decision in November?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november-1785878499354",
   "leader": "25 bps decrease",
   "probability": 0.8,
   "change_24h": 0.07,
   "volume_24h": 1365.09,
   "volume": 42205.59,
   "end_date": "2026-11-04T11:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Brazil Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/brazil-annual-inflation-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "5.00-5.49%",
   "probability": 0.4965,
   "change_24h": -0.061,
   "volume_24h": 1359.26,
   "volume": 152130.42,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Core PCE MoM - September 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-september-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-september-2026",
   "leader": "0.3%",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 1352.45,
   "volume": 10255.18,
   "end_date": "2026-10-29T13:30:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 4.7%",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1255.9,
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  },
  {
   "title": "How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 5.20%",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 1250.44,
   "volume": 41283.67,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of India decision in October",
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   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.795,
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   "volume_24h": 1198.91,
   "volume": 41068.05,
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  },
  {
   "title": "How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "5.32%",
   "probability": 0.867,
   "change_24h": 0.047,
   "volume_24h": 1182.91,
   "volume": 7354.39,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Argentina Monthly Inflation - September",
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   "leader": "1.9 to 2.1%",
   "probability": 0.55,
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   "volume_24h": 1178.37,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-emergency-rate-cut-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0445,
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   "volume_24h": 1150.98,
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  },
  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?",
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   "leader": "<$397K",
   "probability": 0.265,
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   "volume_24h": 1148.96,
   "volume": 7890.02,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Japan Decision in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-october-20260731151537",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.925,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 1140.95,
   "volume": 188267.9,
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  {
   "title": "How many jobs added in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-october-2026",
   "leader": "100k+",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1138.54,
   "volume": 7323.4,
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  },
  {
   "title": "China Annual Inflation 2026",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "0.6 – 1.0%",
   "probability": 0.375,
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   "volume_24h": 1096.57,
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  },
  {
   "title": "2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-2026",
   "leader": "Apple",
   "probability": 0.925,
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   "volume_24h": 1089.08,
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  },
  {
   "title": "How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?",
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   "leader": "4.90%",
   "probability": 0.815,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1052.98,
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  {
   "title": "Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?",
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   "leader": "$1.00-$1.10T",
   "probability": 0.505,
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   "volume_24h": 1042.42,
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  },
  {
   "title": "How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-5-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october",
   "leader": "Below 4.95%",
   "probability": 0.555,
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   "volume_24h": 1033.03,
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  },
  {
   "title": "How high will inflation get in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026",
   "leader": "Above 4.5%",
   "probability": 0.13,
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  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of India decision in December",
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  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?",
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   "probability": 0.22,
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  {
   "title": "What will be in the UK Budget?",
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   "probability": 0.515,
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   "volume_24h": 892.86,
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  {
   "title": "U.K. Annual Inflation 2026",
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   "probability": 0.5545,
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  {
   "title": "UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?",
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   "leader": "0.4–0.5%",
   "probability": 0.515,
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   "volume_24h": 879.04,
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  {
   "title": "What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-san-francisco-metro-area-be-on-december-31",
   "leader": "$1.062M - $1.083M",
   "probability": 0.32,
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  {
   "title": "Bank of Canada Decision in October?",
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   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.7145,
   "change_24h": 0.018,
   "volume_24h": 719.57,
   "volume": 136416.78,
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  {
   "title": "Bank of Canada Decision in December?",
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   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.535,
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   "volume_24h": 717.0,
   "volume": 37110.1,
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  {
   "title": "Will gas be below $3.75 in any state?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-be-below-3pt75-in-any-state-onptptpt",
   "leader": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.88,
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   "volume_24h": 684.6,
   "volume": 4902.33,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026-qoq",
   "leader": "0.0% to 0.2%",
   "probability": 0.345,
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   "volume_24h": 654.71,
   "volume": 25861.87,
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  {
   "title": "Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026",
   "leader": "↑ 7.50%",
   "probability": 0.72,
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   "volume_24h": 652.62,
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  {
   "title": "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?",
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  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of October?",
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   "probability": 0.765,
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  {
   "title": "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026",
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   "probability": 0.225,
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  {
   "title": "Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026",
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   "leader": "3.0%+",
   "probability": 0.714,
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  {
   "title": "China Annual GDP Growth 2026",
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  {
   "title": "South Africa Annual Inflation 2026",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-africa-annual-inflation-2026",
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   "probability": 0.312,
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  {
   "title": "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-october-30",
   "leader": "280M",
   "probability": 0.695,
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   "volume_24h": 548.11,
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  {
   "title": "How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "5.67%",
   "probability": 0.755,
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   "volume_24h": 537.59,
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  {
   "title": "How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-2-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "4.86%",
   "probability": 0.875,
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   "volume": 4878.6,
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  },
  {
   "title": "3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026",
   "leader": "Alphabet",
   "probability": 0.645,
   "change_24h": -0.1,
   "volume_24h": 495.44,
   "volume": 43220.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Price of Dozen Eggs in September?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/price-of-dozen-eggs-in-september-2026",
   "leader": "$2.20 to $2.30",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 486.91,
   "volume": 18485.08,
   "end_date": "2026-10-15T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026",
   "leader": "Apple",
   "probability": 0.7,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 485.0,
   "volume": 26239.91,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Israel Decision in October?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-israel-decision-in-october/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-israel-decision-in-october",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 479.79,
   "volume": 43189.07,
   "end_date": "2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/eurozone-2026-annual-inflation/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eurozone-2026-annual-inflation",
   "leader": "3.1%+",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 446.48,
   "volume": 119150.82,
   "end_date": "2027-01-20T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/germany-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/germany-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026",
   "leader": "1.3%+",
   "probability": 0.44,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 443.65,
   "volume": 61736.33,
   "end_date": "2026-10-30T06:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-treasury-transactions-on-blockchain-by-december-31-20260629152656715",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1375,
   "change_24h": 0.0525,
   "volume_24h": 429.39,
   "volume": 8080.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ism-manufacturing-pmi-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ism-manufacturing-pmi-october-2026",
   "leader": "52.0 to 52.9",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 420.99,
   "volume": 3185.78,
   "end_date": "2026-11-02T06:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/eurozone-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eurozone-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026",
   "leader": "1.2-1.5%",
   "probability": 0.3515,
   "change_24h": -0.022,
   "volume_24h": 418.47,
   "volume": 65545.47,
   "end_date": "2026-10-30T06:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-korea-gdp-growth-yoy-in-q3-2026-20260723231127764",
   "leader": "3.0–3.4%",
   "probability": 0.41,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 400.43,
   "volume": 57587.22,
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  },
  {
   "title": "How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",
   "leader": "5.08%",
   "probability": 0.845,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 386.85,
   "volume": 7926.04,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-2-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 4.70%",
   "probability": 0.68,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 385.44,
   "volume": 7753.8,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "September Inflation China - Annual",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/september-inflation-china-annual/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-china-annual",
   "leader": "0.9% to 1.0%",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 384.35,
   "volume": 36373.61,
   "end_date": "2026-10-14T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "UK Annual GDP Growth 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk-annual-gdp-growth-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uk-annual-gdp-growth-2026",
   "leader": "1-2%",
   "probability": 0.894,
   "change_24h": -0.024,
   "volume_24h": 383.29,
   "volume": 105991.9,
   "end_date": "2027-02-13T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q3-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q3-2026-20260716161116873",
   "leader": "4.3-4.6%",
   "probability": 0.66,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 354.03,
   "volume": 60487.8,
   "end_date": "2026-10-21T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "India Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/india-annual-inflation-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/india-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "4.50%+",
   "probability": 0.895,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 335.43,
   "volume": 92911.61,
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  },
  {
   "title": "October Unemployment Rate",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/october-unemployment-rate-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/october-unemployment-rate-2026",
   "leader": "4.2%",
   "probability": 0.32,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 326.63,
   "volume": 2243.43,
   "end_date": "2026-11-06T13:30:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US economic state at the end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-economic-state-at-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-economic-state-at-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)",
   "probability": 0.66,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 317.68,
   "volume": 99381.72,
   "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Argentina Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/argentina-annual-inflation-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/argentina-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "30.0-34.9%",
   "probability": 0.5755,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume_24h": 300.43,
   "volume": 74341.09,
   "end_date": "2027-01-11T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-december-20260908230600001",
   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.565,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 299.06,
   "volume": 27292.47,
   "end_date": "2026-12-09T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of December?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december",
   "leader": "3.0 - 3.5M",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 298.65,
   "volume": 103141.55,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Russia decision in October?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.87,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 285.38,
   "volume": 64210.69,
   "end_date": "2026-10-24T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/no-change-or-hike-25-bps-favored-on-october-27",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.83,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 263.09,
   "volume": 31920.62,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Canada Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/canada-annual-inflation-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/canada-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "3.0-3.4%",
   "probability": 0.3625,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 221.5,
   "volume": 51575.43,
   "end_date": "2027-01-19T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "ISM Services PMI - October 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ism-services-pmi-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ism-services-pmi-october-2026",
   "leader": "52.0 to 52.9",
   "probability": 0.33,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 202.6,
   "volume": 202.6,
   "end_date": "2026-11-04T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Core CPI YoY - September 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/core-cpi-yoy-september-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-september-2026",
   "leader": "2.5%",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume_24h": 173.13,
   "volume": 39404.57,
   "end_date": "2026-10-15T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "ECB Interest Rates: December 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-december-2026",
   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 116.0,
   "volume": 31353.11,
   "end_date": "2026-12-17T11:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "September Inflation US - Monthly",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/september-inflation-us-monthly/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-us-monthly",
   "leader": "0.6%",
   "probability": 0.46,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 91.17,
   "volume": 51846.09,
   "end_date": "2026-10-15T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Japan Decision in December?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-december-20260918",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-december-20260918",
   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.6,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 87.47,
   "volume": 10558.11,
   "end_date": "2026-12-18T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Core CPI MoM - September 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/core-cpi-mom-september-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-september-2026",
   "leader": "0.2%",
   "probability": 0.355,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 83.72,
   "volume": 21347.26,
   "end_date": "2026-10-15T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Argentina dollarize?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-argentina-dollarize-by-june-30-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-dollarize-by-june-30-2026",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 81.59,
   "volume": 49614.67,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How high will US unemployment go in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-high-will-us-unemployment-go-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-us-unemployment-go-in-2026",
   "leader": "5.0%",
   "probability": 0.0555,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 80.72,
   "volume": 551307.38,
   "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/japan-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026-qoq-annualized",
   "leader": "0.8%–1.6%",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 79.7,
   "volume": 35554.89,
   "end_date": "2026-11-17T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "PPI YoY - September 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ppi-yoy-september-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ppi-yoy-september-2026",
   "leader": "5.9%+",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": -0.065,
   "volume_24h": 72.95,
   "volume": 15864.12,
   "end_date": "2026-10-16T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peoples-bank-of-china-rate-change-by-december-31",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.895,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 70.48,
   "volume": 3050.66,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T15:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Russia decision in December?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-december",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 55.03,
   "volume": 5514.79,
   "end_date": "2026-12-18T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/japan-core-cpi-yoy-in-2026-20260617224131789",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/japan-core-cpi-yoy-in-2026-20260617224131789",
   "leader": "≤1.9%",
   "probability": 0.6005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 54.41,
   "volume": 50182.03,
   "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mexico-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026",
   "leader": "2.0-2.5%",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 42.86,
   "volume": 42933.07,
   "end_date": "2026-10-30T06:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mortgage-delinquency-rate-exceeds-3-by-end-of-q4-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mortgage-delinquency-rate-exceeds-3-by-end-of-q4-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.245,
   "change_24h": -0.095,
   "volume_24h": 40.0,
   "volume": 661.0,
   "end_date": "2028-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US recession by end of 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-by-end-of-2027-20260807185409760",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-by-end-of-2027-20260807185409760",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 34.59,
   "volume": 10098.72,
   "end_date": "2027-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/japan-core-core-cpi-yoy-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/japan-core-core-cpi-yoy-in-2026-20260617223728725",
   "leader": "2.0-2.4%",
   "probability": 0.775,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 32.17,
   "volume": 74541.61,
   "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-canada-have-the-highest-unemployment-rate-since-2016-this-year",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-canada-have-the-highest-unemployment-rate-since-2016-this-year",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0855,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 27.28,
   "volume": 9655.18,
   "end_date": "2027-02-16T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2027",
   "leader": "4.75%",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 21.96,
   "volume": 13245.83,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mexico Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mexico-annual-inflation-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mexico-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "4.00% to 4.49%",
   "probability": 0.455,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 14.27,
   "volume": 76464.77,
   "end_date": "2027-01-09T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-canadas-drop-in-population-in-2026-be-the-largest-on-record",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-canadas-drop-in-population-in-2026-be-the-largest-on-record",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 12.0,
   "volume": 2577.28,
   "end_date": "2027-05-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Mexico Decision in November?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-november/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-november",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.95,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 4.26,
   "volume": 36675.24,
   "end_date": "2026-11-05T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Canada's population Up or Down this year?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/canadas-population-up-or-down-this-year",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/canadas-population-up-or-down-this-year",
   "leader": "Up",
   "probability": 0.445,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1.53,
   "volume": 2226.94,
   "end_date": "2027-05-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/eurozone-annual-gdp-growth-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eurozone-annual-gdp-growth-2026",
   "leader": "0-1.0%",
   "probability": 0.4795,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 55621.35,
   "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "South Korea Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/south-korea-annual-inflation-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/south-korea-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "3.0%+",
   "probability": 0.5175,
   "change_24h": 0.0095,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 52171.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "ECB rate cut in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ecb-rate-cut-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-rate-cut-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 35577.75,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Negative GDP growth in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/negative-gdp-growth-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/negative-gdp-growth-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0205,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 33422.92,
   "end_date": "2027-01-29T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tech-layoffs-up-or-down-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tech-layoffs-up-or-down-in-2026",
   "leader": "Up",
   "probability": 0.895,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 26012.79,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ground-beef-hit-in-2026",
   "leader": "$7.000+",
   "probability": 0.56,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 22966.26,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "UK Recession in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uk-recession-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uk-recession-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 15290.93,
   "end_date": "2027-05-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-in-jail-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-in-jail-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0275,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 5740.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Japan recession in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/japan-recession-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 4282.94,
   "end_date": "2027-05-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US announces another yen intervention?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-another-yen-intervention-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-another-yen-intervention-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By September 30, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 140.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/economy/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/economy/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}