{
 "slug": "anthropic",
 "topic": "Anthropic",
 "category": "tech",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic/",
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "count": 66,
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  "claude",
  "opus",
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  "dario"
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   "title": "Anthropic IPO by __?",
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   "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released?",
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   "title": "3rd largest private company end of October?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic announces bankruptcy?",
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  {
   "title": "In which month will Anthropic IPO?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)",
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   "title": "What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?",
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   "title": "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released?",
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  {
   "title": "#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?",
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   "title": "Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?",
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  },
  {
   "title": "#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?",
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  {
   "title": "What will Anthropic's public ticker be?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979",
   "leader": "1.8T+",
   "probability": 0.81,
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  {
   "title": "Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-haiku-model-4pt6-released-onptptpt-20260930",
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   "title": "Will Claude go down on __ days in October?",
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  },
  {
   "title": "Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released?",
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   "leader": "By December 31",
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  {
   "title": "Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?",
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  },
  {
   "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20260928",
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  {
   "title": "What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?",
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  },
  {
   "title": "Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-model-5pt6-text-arena-debut-20260928",
   "leader": "1510+",
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  },
  {
   "title": "Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?",
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   "leader": "45%+",
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  {
   "title": "Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting?",
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  {
   "title": "What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?",
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  },
  {
   "title": "Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?",
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  {
   "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?",
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   "leader": "1500+",
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  {
   "title": "Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic lab leak?",
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  {
   "title": "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?",
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  {
   "title": "What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?",
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  {
   "title": "Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?",
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  {
   "title": "Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?",
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  },
  {
   "title": "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?",
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  {
   "title": "Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-a-millennium-prize-solution-byptptpt",
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  },
  {
   "title": "OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-anthropic-vs-google-higher-valuation-on-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-anthropic-vs-google-higher-valuation-on-december-31",
   "leader": "OpenAI + Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 294.1,
   "volume": 8190.29,
   "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-removes-public-access-to-a-major-chinese-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203328223",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 200.0,
   "volume": 54574.35,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/frontier-ai-lab-pulls-a-model-over-safety-concerns-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 7383.49,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Claude 6 released?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/claude-6-released/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-6-released-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.925,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 147.5,
   "volume": 32481.57,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.7,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 45.01,
   "volume": 201666.52,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260923144500000",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.93,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume_24h": 42.36,
   "volume": 3387.1,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ftc-opens-investigation-into-ai-book-destruction-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ftc-opens-investigation-into-ai-book-destruction-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 24.17,
   "volume": 748.01,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-reports-another-ai-sandbox-escape-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": -0.105,
   "volume_24h": 20.12,
   "volume": 7001.11,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-government-removes-public-access-to-another-anthropic-ai-model-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-removes-public-access-to-another-anthropic-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203121674",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 41241.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-government-removes-public-access-to-another-major-ai-model-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-removes-public-access-to-another-major-ai-model-in-2026-20260703202936862",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 38893.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Anthropic acquired before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-acquired-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0285,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 30314.5,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-openai-vs-microsoft-higher-valuation-on-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-openai-vs-microsoft-higher-valuation-on-december-31",
   "leader": "Anthropic + OpenAI ",
   "probability": 0.455,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 8967.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-or-anthropic-announces-recursive-self-improvement-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-or-anthropic-announces-recursive-self-improvement-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.1,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 6417.46,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Largest private company end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-private-company-end-of-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-private-company-end-of-october-2026",
   "leader": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.9915,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 4979.73,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropics-valuation-end-of-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropics-valuation-end-of-october-2026",
   "leader": "$2.00-$2.25T",
   "probability": 0.32,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 4040.9,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-arrested-by-december-31-20260702002059924",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.033,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3400.05,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/frontier-ai-labs-announce-new-joint-pacing-agreement-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/frontier-ai-labs-announce-new-joint-pacing-agreement-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.245,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3393.96,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-vspt-anthropic-first-to-another-millennium-prize-solution",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-vspt-anthropic-first-to-another-millennium-prize-solution",
   "leader": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.78,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3002.43,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "2nd largest private company end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-private-company-end-of-october-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-private-company-end-of-october-2026",
   "leader": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.9285,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2942.66,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-vs-anthropic-first-to-announce-recursive-self-improvement",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-vs-anthropic-first-to-announce-recursive-self-improvement",
   "leader": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.425,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1198.54,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Which exchange will Anthropic list on?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-exchange-will-anthropic-list-on",
   "leader": "NASDAQ",
   "probability": 0.945,
   "change_24h": -0.016,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1021.34,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-5pt6-released-byptptpt-20260929100500000",
   "leader": "By January 31",
   "probability": 0.665,
   "change_24h": -0.1,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 741.27,
   "end_date": "2027-01-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-jerome-powell-join-an-ai-company-in-2026-20260710193608891",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-jerome-powell-join-an-ai-company-in-2026-20260710193608891",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 518.18,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-or-openai-higher-ipo-closing-market-cap",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-or-openai-higher-ipo-closing-market-cap",
   "leader": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.685,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 226.56,
   "end_date": "2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-out-as-anthropic-ceo-before-ipo",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/dario-amodei-out-as-anthropic-ceo-before-ipo",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0465,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 10.79,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}