{ "slug": "ai", "topic": "AI", "category": "tech", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ai/", "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00", "count": 187, "volume_24h": 884264.16, "polymarket_tags": [ "ai", "artificial-intelligence", "ai-releases", "ai-rankings", "llm" ], "markets": [ { "title": "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.48, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 118289.76, "volume": 2249190.3, "end_date": "2026-12-31T17:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Gemini 4.0 released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.979, "change_24h": 0.012, "volume_24h": 91686.1, "volume": 1135469.75, 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"polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by", "leader": "By December 31, 2028", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 53303.63, "volume": 53303.63, "end_date": "2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes", "leader": "$2.0–$2.25T", "probability": 0.29, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 37633.95, "volume": 1327316.68, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-fable-model-5pt2-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.975, "change_24h": -0.0155, "volume_24h": 31711.43, "volume": 105322.74, "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Indiana enacts data center moratorium?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/indiana-enacts-data-center-moratorium/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/indiana-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929", "leader": "By December 31, 2028", "probability": 0.145, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 27020.87, "volume": 2828170.22, "end_date": "2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oklahoma-enacts-data-center-moratorium/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/oklahoma-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929", "leader": "By December 31, 2028", "probability": 0.225, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 26942.79, "volume": 632479.69, "end_date": "2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by", "leader": "By December 31, 2027", "probability": 0.635, "change_24h": 0.13, "volume_24h": 26133.63, "volume": 650099.75, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31", "leader": "↑$1.5T", "probability": 0.935, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 23630.77, "volume": 5315561.95, "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model end of November?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-november/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-november", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.475, "change_24h": 0.02, 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"polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-ai-solve-next", "leader": "No solution by Dec 31, 2027", "probability": 0.35, "change_24h": -0.06, "volume_24h": 11262.02, "volume": 236350.83, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.41, "change_24h": 0.14, "volume_24h": 11041.68, "volume": 182495.47, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31", "leader": "↑$1.25T", "probability": 0.845, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 8909.78, "volume": 1266233.15, "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-november/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-november", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.895, "change_24h": 0.205, "volume_24h": 7100.91, "volume": 23350.66, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-more-millennium-prize-problems-will-ai-solve-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-more-millennium-prize-problems-will-ai-solve-in-2026", "leader": "0", "probability": 0.755, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 6947.28, "volume": 206954.78, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-a100-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-a100-end-of-november", "leader": "$0.75-$1.00", "probability": 0.6, "change_24h": 0.295, "volume_24h": 6648.59, "volume": 13135.53, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "In which month will Anthropic IPO?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo", "leader": "November 2026", "probability": 0.6445, "change_24h": 0.0075, "volume_24h": 6573.32, "volume": 345971.9, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-october", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.88, "change_24h": -0.065, "volume_24h": 6370.28, "volume": 39709.08, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Gemini Pro Model released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-gemini-pro-model-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260922131618444", "leader": "No release by October 31", "probability": 0.785, "change_24h": -0.05, "volume_24h": 5895.31, "volume": 74780.14, "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Louisiana enacts data center moratorium?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/louisiana-enacts-data-center-moratorium/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/louisiana-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929", "leader": "By December 31, 2028", "probability": 0.195, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 5758.26, "volume": 350459.58, "end_date": "2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will the next Muse model family be named?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-the-next-muse-model-family-be-named/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-next-muse-model-family-be-named-20260903153257527", "leader": "Muse Fire", "probability": 0.225, "change_24h": 0.045, "volume_24h": 5481.53, "volume": 59514.1, "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-november", "leader": "$5.00-$5.50", "probability": 0.22, "change_24h": 0.03, "volume_24h": 4826.15, "volume": 16931.35, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Meta's Watermelon released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/metas-watermelon-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-released-onptptpt-20260928142913437", "leader": "No release by October 31", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": -0.085, "volume_24h": 4804.52, "volume": 26422.64, "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Meta's \"Watermelon\" model released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/metas-watermelon-model-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-model-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.905, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 4640.47, "volume": 79903.48, "end_date": "2026-11-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-spacexai-officially-rename-itself-to-spacexsi/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-spacexai-officially-rename-itself-to-spacexsi-byptptpt", "leader": "By October 31", "probability": 0.385, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_24h": 4445.5, "volume": 38295.4, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Missouri enacts data center moratorium?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929", "leader": "By December 31, 2028", "probability": 0.255, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 4404.44, "volume": 426125.51, "end_date": "2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.095, "change_24h": -0.065, "volume_24h": 4283.65, "volume": 205674.36, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/highest-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723190836285", "leader": "55%+", "probability": 0.8755, "change_24h": 0.006, "volume_24h": 3979.72, "volume": 149322.88, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.37, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3919.82, "volume": 1592596.85, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414", "leader": "DeepSeek", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3837.48, "volume": 104571.78, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-x-china-agree-to-pace-the-ai-frontier-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-agree-to-pace-the-ai-frontier-in-2026", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.0685, "change_24h": 0.009, "volume_24h": 3822.26, "volume": 60103.18, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/3-ai-lab-end-of-october-style-control/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3-ai-lab-end-of-october-style-control-on", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.545, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 3644.7, "volume": 54272.7, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/highest-meta-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-meta-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723192006805", "leader": "55%+", "probability": 0.375, "change_24h": 0.045, "volume_24h": 3611.26, "volume": 80070.53, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-119/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-119", "leader": "600B+", "probability": 0.9405, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 3503.54, "volume": 519458.39, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-gpt-astra-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-gpt-astra-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "leader": "↓ $40", "probability": 0.53, "change_24h": 0.07, "volume_24h": 3437.6, "volume": 7265.12, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best AI Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.46, "change_24h": 0.08, "volume_24h": 3433.86, "volume": 56192.03, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openrouter-ai-token-usage-sep-28-to-oct-25-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openrouter-ai-token-usage-sep-28-to-oct-25-2026", "leader": "675-725T", "probability": 0.3, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3409.12, "volume": 3409.12, "end_date": "2026-10-26T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ai-lab-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ai-lab-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by", "leader": "By December 31, 2027", "probability": 0.68, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 3352.62, "volume": 388288.53, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI resumes training?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/openai-resumes-training/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-on", "leader": "Not resumed by October 20", "probability": 0.46, "change_24h": 0.08, "volume_24h": 3008.99, "volume": 27266.66, "end_date": "2026-10-21T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-openais-frontier-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-openais-frontier-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "leader": "↓ $45", "probability": 0.445, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 2941.59, "volume": 4173.35, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-20260817144359068", "leader": "No release by November 1", "probability": 0.795, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 2903.16, "volume": 222528.92, "end_date": "2026-11-01T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/highest-kimi-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-kimi-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191206820", "leader": "45%+", "probability": 0.689, "change_24h": -0.017, "volume_24h": 2812.84, "volume": 92854.38, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/openai-announces-it-has-achieved-agi-before-2027/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-announces-it-has-achieved-agi-before-2027", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.165, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 2777.23, "volume": 309492.6, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-google-gemini-pro-model-arena-debut/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-google-gemini-pro-model-arena-debut", "leader": "1480+", "probability": 0.3785, "change_24h": 0.019, "volume_24h": 2674.91, "volume": 245938.64, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-claude-fable-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-claude-fable-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "leader": "↓ $45", "probability": 0.41, "change_24h": 0.145, "volume_24h": 2632.26, "volume": 15188.08, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-5", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2nd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-5", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.455, "change_24h": 0.195, "volume_24h": 2612.8, "volume": 3810.63, "end_date": "2026-10-13T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.05, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 2547.43, "volume": 198649.36, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenRouter token usage week of October 5?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openrouter-token-usage-week-of-october-5", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openrouter-token-usage-week-of-october-5", "leader": "175-185T", "probability": 0.275, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 2492.18, "volume": 4148.07, "end_date": "2026-10-12T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-claude-opus-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-claude-opus-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "leader": "↓ $15", "probability": 0.28, "change_24h": -0.045, "volume_24h": 2265.66, "volume": 7498.72, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-released-onptptpt-20261002", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-released-onptptpt-20261002", "leader": "October 16", "probability": 0.293, "change_24h": 0.2515, "volume_24h": 2149.68, "volume": 7527.47, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-october", "leader": "$5.50+", "probability": 0.3125, "change_24h": -0.0975, "volume_24h": 2138.29, "volume": 45548.36, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-october", "leader": "$6.50+", "probability": 0.585, "change_24h": -0.14, "volume_24h": 2127.42, "volume": 38605.9, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-november", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.61, "change_24h": 0.205, "volume_24h": 2040.8, "volume": 13925.4, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-5", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-5", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.447, "change_24h": 0.052, "volume_24h": 2034.82, "volume": 2528.07, "end_date": "2026-10-13T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-haiku-model-4pt6-text-arena-debut-20260930", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-haiku-model-4pt6-text-arena-debut-20260930", "leader": "1400+", "probability": 0.835, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 2028.49, "volume": 12179.61, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gpu-rental-prices-rtx-5090-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-rtx-5090-end-of-october", "leader": "$0.60+", "probability": 0.4925, "change_24h": -0.075, "volume_24h": 1918.48, "volume": 50344.43, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-image-edit-ai-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-image-edit-ai-end-of-october", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.8, "change_24h": -0.115, "volume_24h": 1827.0, "volume": 29033.66, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/top-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-5", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/top-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-5", "leader": "DeepSeek", "probability": 0.735, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 1770.61, "volume": 3477.46, "end_date": "2026-10-13T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will Anthropic's public ticker be?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be", "leader": "$ANTH", "probability": 0.44, "change_24h": -0.095, "volume_24h": 1763.74, "volume": 118446.34, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979", "leader": "1.8T+", "probability": 0.81, "change_24h": -0.075, "volume_24h": 1658.54, "volume": 502455.46, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best AI Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Anthropic", 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"https://polymarket.com/event/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-october", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-october", "leader": "5-7", "probability": 0.52, "change_24h": 0.17, "volume_24h": 1521.35, "volume": 5473.42, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-claude-haiku-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-haiku-released-byptptpt-20260701205353326", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.978, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 1497.78, "volume": 24245.54, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gemini-argon-humanitys-last-exam-debut/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20261002", "leader": "45%+", "probability": 0.935, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 1496.09, "volume": 26396.59, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-october-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/of-chatgpt-outage-days-in-october-2026", "leader": "3", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1470.6, "volume": 7036.67, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026", "leader": "None in 2026", "probability": 0.76, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 1463.31, "volume": 132168.82, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october", "leader": "Moonshot", "probability": 0.335, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1431.77, "volume": 26855.25, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20260928", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20260928", "leader": "50%+", "probability": 0.87, "change_24h": 0.105, "volume_24h": 1416.59, "volume": 4800.54, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-claude-sonnet-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-claude-sonnet-output-token-price-hit-in-2026", "leader": "↓ $8", "probability": 0.41, "change_24h": 0.165, "volume_24h": 1384.85, "volume": 4605.66, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-muse-spark-model-1pt4-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-muse-spark-model-1pt4-released-onptptpt-20260922133617102", "leader": "October 14", "probability": 0.1755, "change_24h": -0.0005, "volume_24h": 1229.58, "volume": 21730.46, "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-moonshot-ai-ipo-by", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-moonshot-ai-ipo-by", "leader": "By June 30, 2027", "probability": 0.705, "change_24h": -0.06, "volume_24h": 1216.69, "volume": 11771.3, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h100-hit-in-2026-20260709165909063", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h100-hit-in-2026-20260709165909063", "leader": "↓ $2.00", "probability": 0.6015, "change_24h": 0.126, "volume_24h": 1144.9, "volume": 13782.61, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-model-5pt6-text-arena-debut-20260928", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-model-5pt6-text-arena-debut-20260928", "leader": "1510+", "probability": 0.715, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 1125.35, "volume": 4649.25, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut/", "polymarket_url": 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"2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026", "leader": "Earbuds/Headphones", "probability": 0.16, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 1070.5, "volume": 443843.73, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-tesla-sell-a-cybercab-for-30k-or-less-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-sell-a-cybercab-for-30k-or-less-in-2026", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.19, "change_24h": 0.035, "volume_24h": 1056.47, "volume": 58874.24, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-2026-20260709165336437", "leader": "$7.00+", "probability": 0.665, "change_24h": -0.11, "volume_24h": 1047.09, "volume": 96116.14, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/openai-ipo-closing-market-cap-above/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-ipo-closing-market-cap-above", "leader": "$800B", "probability": 0.7875, "change_24h": 0.0395, "volume_24h": 987.54, "volume": 1555552.05, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-vatican-x-anthropic-meeting-by", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-vatican-x-anthropic-meeting-by", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.5, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 984.63, "volume": 984.63, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623", "leader": "$2.00-$2.50", "probability": 0.2105, "change_24h": 0.014, "volume_24h": 969.92, "volume": 65282.03, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948", "leader": "45%+", "probability": 0.533, "change_24h": -0.028, "volume_24h": 928.27, "volume": 147074.24, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI resumes training?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by", "leader": "By October 31", "probability": 0.69, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 922.28, "volume": 15827.04, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.325, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_24h": 919.91, "volume": 7054.64, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will OpenAI's public ticker be?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be", "leader": "$OAI", "probability": 0.48, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 906.82, "volume": 19816.39, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-anthropics-ipo-valuation-be/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-anthropics-ipo-valuation-be", "leader": "$1.75–$2.00T", "probability": 0.435, "change_24h": -0.045, "volume_24h": 889.3, "volume": 118472.63, "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.375, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 884.97, "volume": 5318.58, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best AI Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.65, "change_24h": 0.07, "volume_24h": 874.44, "volume": 49478.05, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-fable-5pt2-output-token-price-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-fable-5pt2-output-token-price-debut", "leader": "$40+", "probability": 0.865, "change_24h": 0.215, "volume_24h": 820.97, "volume": 2824.39, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.205, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 814.05, "volume": 8072.65, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openais-valuation-end-of-november-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openais-valuation-end-of-november-2026", "leader": "$1.20-$1.30T", "probability": 0.165, "change_24h": -0.025, "volume_24h": 774.32, "volume": 2573.5, "end_date": "2026-11-30T17:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31-20260626201631463", "leader": "Denver, CO", "probability": 0.815, "change_24h": -0.02, "volume_24h": 772.31, "volume": 55283.7, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.69, "change_24h": -0.085, "volume_24h": 731.38, "volume": 36887.37, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-text-arena-debut-20260928", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-fable-model-5pt2-text-arena-debut-20260928", "leader": "1500+", "probability": 0.905, "change_24h": 0.06, "volume_24h": 711.16, "volume": 3445.02, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.555, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 695.91, "volume": 64204.9, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-google-gemini-pro-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-google-gemini-pro-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20260729192434644", "leader": "50%+", "probability": 0.525, "change_24h": 0.08, "volume_24h": 674.89, "volume": 96060.28, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-november", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.655, "change_24h": -0.05, "volume_24h": 669.75, "volume": 7500.36, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-opus-5pt6-output-token-price-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-opus-5pt6-output-token-price-debut", "leader": "$15+", "probability": 0.83, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 618.98, "volume": 2996.68, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.33, "change_24h": -0.145, "volume_24h": 610.89, "volume": 48903.8, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-october-style-control/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-october-style-control-on", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.703, "change_24h": 0.035, "volume_24h": 503.4, "volume": 64077.38, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026-style-control-on", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026-style-control-on", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.36, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 503.34, "volume": 11749.83, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-october", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.46, "change_24h": -0.03, "volume_24h": 478.06, "volume": 70412.98, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-october-20260812152901709", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.775, "change_24h": -0.03, "volume_24h": 463.83, "volume": 50648.39, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Muse on Meta glasses?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/muse-on-meta-glasses-by", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/muse-on-meta-glasses-by", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.72, "change_24h": 0.035, "volume_24h": 436.7, "volume": 1749.59, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Grok Model (4.8+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-4pt8-released-by", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-4pt8-released-by", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.865, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 400.84, "volume": 2301.58, "end_date": "2026-11-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.78, "change_24h": -0.065, "volume_24h": 400.04, "volume": 58216.6, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-october", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.765, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 375.48, "volume": 34625.68, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/anthropic-vs-openai-higher-valuation-on-december-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-vs-openai-higher-valuation-on-december-31", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.91, "change_24h": -0.005, "volume_24h": 349.09, "volume": 95022.16, "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-astra-6pt1-output-token-price-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-astra-6pt1-output-token-price-debut", "leader": "$40+", "probability": 0.705, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 340.37, "volume": 3858.63, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-october-20260812153019470", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.5935, "change_24h": 0.0075, "volume_24h": 340.27, "volume": 30572.84, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.515, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 335.14, "volume": 7020.68, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-perplexitys-valuation-hit-by-december-31", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-perplexitys-valuation-hit-by-december-31", "leader": "↑$22.5B", "probability": 0.64, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 300.1, "volume": 73603.15, "end_date": "2027-01-01T13:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.585, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 294.0, "volume": 4241.66, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-zptai-glm-5pt4-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-zptai-glm-5pt4-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By October 31", "probability": 0.795, "change_24h": -0.065, "volume_24h": 279.66, "volume": 20997.09, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut", "leader": "40%+", "probability": 0.875, "change_24h": -0.04, "volume_24h": 278.15, "volume": 1984.98, "end_date": "2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Grok 5 released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/grok-5-released-byptptpt-20260710195520919", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/grok-5-released-byptptpt-20260710195520919", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.595, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 271.0, "volume": 17443.48, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-november-style-control/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-november-style-control-on", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.475, "change_24h": 0.105, "volume_24h": 254.36, "volume": 21330.96, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-november/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.655, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 250.76, "volume": 21881.92, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-muse-spark-1pt4-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-muse-spark-1pt4-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By October 31", "probability": 0.88, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 248.84, "volume": 29442.26, "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best AI Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.38, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 235.68, "volume": 11191.9, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.515, "change_24h": -0.065, "volume_24h": 227.88, "volume": 7918.51, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-gpt-sol-model-6pt1-humanitys-last-exam-debut/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-sol-model-6pt1-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20260929193259436", "leader": "40%+", "probability": 0.9145, "change_24h": 0.001, "volume_24h": 225.09, "volume": 20984.74, "end_date": "2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.305, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 222.45, "volume": 9262.75, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openais-valuation-end-of-october-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openais-valuation-end-of-october-2026", "leader": "$1.00-$1.10T", "probability": 0.415, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 220.1, "volume": 11104.75, "end_date": "2026-10-31T17:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best AI Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.45, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 219.2, "volume": 21688.67, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.365, "change_24h": -0.025, "volume_24h": 219.0, "volume": 8007.12, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.785, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 197.5, "volume": 98096.75, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best AI Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.34, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 188.23, "volume": 8858.23, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.585, "change_24h": -0.105, "volume_24h": 181.64, "volume": 4028.1, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-muse-spark-1pt4-text-arena-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-muse-spark-1pt4-text-arena-debut", "leader": "1480+", "probability": 0.845, "change_24h": 0.065, "volume_24h": 180.0, "volume": 15602.13, "end_date": "2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "SSI public model released by…?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ssi-public-model-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ssi-public-model-released-by-20260810094604188", "leader": "December 31", "probability": 0.615, "change_24h": 0.035, "volume_24h": 161.52, "volume": 130056.38, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-google-gemini-flash-lite-model-3pt6-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-google-gemini-flash-lite-model-3pt6-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.68, "change_24h": 0.205, "volume_24h": 161.0, "volume": 9616.81, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.29, "change_24h": 0.09, "volume_24h": 158.77, "volume": 4022.58, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Claude 6 released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/claude-6-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-6-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31, 2027", "probability": 0.925, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 147.5, "volume": 32481.57, "end_date": "2027-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.495, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 145.84, "volume": 8523.46, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.23, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 133.5, "volume": 6583.86, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next DeepSeek Pro released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-deepseek-pro-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-deepseek-pro-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.465, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 129.35, "volume": 19788.4, "end_date": "2026-11-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-luna-6pt1-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-luna-6pt1-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.865, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 126.09, "volume": 1749.28, "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-november", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.835, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 119.55, "volume": 5935.63, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2-ai-lab-end-of-october-style-control/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2-ai-lab-end-of-october-style-control-on", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.61, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 115.37, "volume": 49207.3, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-4pt8-text-arena-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-4pt8-text-arena-debut", "leader": "1440+", "probability": 0.595, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 100.0, "volume": 5137.59, "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next DeepSeek Flash released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-deepseek-flash-released-by-20260914", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-deepseek-flash-released-by-20260914", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.245, "change_24h": -0.185, "volume_24h": 82.06, "volume": 3070.43, "end_date": "2026-11-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-october", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.422, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 82.0, "volume": 60279.38, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/3-ai-lab-end-of-november-style-control/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3-ai-lab-end-of-november-style-control-on", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.365, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 79.97, "volume": 24539.06, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "Meta", "probability": 0.2015, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 60.1, "volume": 14689.61, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-flash-model-3pt9-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-flash-model-3pt9-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.665, "change_24h": -0.055, "volume_24h": 60.0, "volume": 7638.94, "end_date": "2026-11-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026-style-control-on", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/3-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026-style-control-on", "leader": "DeepSeek", "probability": 0.336, "change_24h": 0.2995, "volume_24h": 57.45, "volume": 9803.85, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.66, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 51.12, "volume": 12335.78, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-november-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-november-2026", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.695, "change_24h": -0.01, "volume_24h": 46.86, "volume": 9439.34, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260923144500000", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260923144500000", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.93, "change_24h": 0.05, "volume_24h": 42.36, "volume": 3387.1, "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2-ai-lab-end-of-november-style-control-on", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2-ai-lab-end-of-november-style-control-on", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.385, "change_24h": 0.02, "volume_24h": 40.0, "volume": 18351.43, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.2, "change_24h": -0.045, "volume_24h": 40.0, "volume": 2436.99, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-model-text-arena-debut", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/metas-watermelon-model-text-arena-debut", "leader": "1480+", "probability": 0.835, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 40.0, "volume": 1475.46, "end_date": "2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "New MAI thinking model released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mai-thinking-model-released-byptptpt-20260710200926146", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-mai-thinking-model-released-byptptpt-20260710200926146", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.61, "change_24h": 0.15, "volume_24h": 40.0, "volume": 736.71, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november", "leader": "Alibaba", "probability": 0.24, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 32.15, "volume": 10076.88, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-november", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.78, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 27.0, "volume": 15264.76, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "GPT-7 released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-7-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-7-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31, 2027", "probability": 0.925, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 21.05, "volume": 14996.25, "end_date": "2027-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-december-2026-style-control-on", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-december-2026-style-control-on", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.435, "change_24h": 0.12, "volume_24h": 20.0, "volume": 2786.71, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By November 30", "probability": 0.19, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 13.0, "volume": 41756.05, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-sol-6pt2-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-sol-6pt2-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.8, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 12.98, "volume": 408.65, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-october", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.76, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 10.7, "volume": 46817.8, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-rename-itself-to-opensi", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-rename-itself-to-opensi", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.03, "change_24h": 0.003, "volume_24h": 10.26, "volume": 2501.86, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.725, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 3.06, "volume": 3756.07, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-november", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.605, "change_24h": 0.015, "volume_24h": 2.0, "volume": 9302.55, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.745, "change_24h": 0.04, "volume_24h": 1.88, "volume": 46646.21, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-december-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-december-2026", "leader": "Xiaomi", "probability": 0.19, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 1.0, "volume": 1919.7, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-a-chinese-company-have-the-best-ai-model-by-december-31/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-chinese-company-have-the-best-ai-model-by-december-31", "leader": "#3", "probability": 0.145, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 265077.26, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-release-a-social-network-in-2026", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-release-a-social-network-in-2026", "leader": "Yes", "probability": 0.165, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 80937.46, "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-october/", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-october", "leader": "Anthropic", "probability": 0.885, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 29209.87, "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Which company has the best Text 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"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-image-to-video-ai-end-of-october", "leader": "MiniMax", "probability": 0.865, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 18834.3, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.4, "change_24h": -0.015, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 13647.17, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-vs-meta-higher-valuation-on-december-31", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/openai-vs-meta-higher-valuation-on-december-31", "leader": "OpenAI", "probability": 0.075, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 11727.61, "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-november", "leader": "Google", "probability": 0.25, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 10959.62, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-alibaba-qwen-max-3pt9-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-alibaba-qwen-max-3pt9-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By October 31", "probability": 0.405, "change_24h": null, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 9975.6, "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-openai-vs-microsoft-higher-valuation-on-december-31", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-openai-vs-microsoft-higher-valuation-on-december-31", "leader": "Anthropic + OpenAI ", "probability": 0.455, "change_24h": 0.01, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 8967.02, "end_date": "2027-01-05T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of November?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november", "leader": "Xiaomi", "probability": 0.3255, "change_24h": 0.022, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 8888.91, "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-5pt6-released-byptptpt-20260929100500000", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-5pt6-released-byptptpt-20260929100500000", "leader": "By January 31", "probability": 0.665, "change_24h": -0.1, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 741.27, "end_date": "2027-01-31T23:59:00+00:00" }, { "title": "Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-qwen-flash-3pt9-released-byptptpt", "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-qwen-flash-3pt9-released-byptptpt", "leader": "By December 31", "probability": 0.93, "change_24h": 0.005, "volume_24h": 0.0, "volume": 707.95, "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00" } ], "license": "CC BY 4.0", "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "attribution": { "required": true, "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com", "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ai/", "html": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com" }, "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket." }