{
 "slug": "will-russia-capture-bilytske",
 "title": "Will Russia capture Bilytske?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-bilytske/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-bilytske-by",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 444163.71,
 "volume_24h": 1386.67,
 "liquidity": 9258.8,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.705,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 25728.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 3092.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.013,
   "volume": 120597.85,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By April 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0295,
   "volume": 78031.73,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By March 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 73471.99,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By August 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 48070.96,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By June 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 45215.93,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By February 28",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": 0.0315,
   "volume": 37863.05,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By May 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 12091.62,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.815
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.78
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1791291683,
    0.705
   ]
  ],
  "By October 31": [
   [
    1790812828,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791291684,
    0.16
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-bilytske/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-bilytske/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
