{
 "slug": "will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast",
 "title": "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast-by",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 967962.17,
 "volume_24h": 0.0,
 "liquidity": 76836.54,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 1204.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.019,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 225513.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By June 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 431529.22,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By March 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 309715.45,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By June 30, 2027": [
   [
    1791072019,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791292160,
    0.105
   ]
  ],
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.0275
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.0285
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.022
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.026
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.0245
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.023
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.018
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.0235
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.019
   ],
   [
    1791292162,
    0.019
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}