{
 "slug": "who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31",
 "title": "Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31-20260812153824803",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 1276578.09,
 "volume_24h": 28349.11,
 "liquidity": 510101.34,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Jared Kushner",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.6045,
   "volume": 214991.36,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.1455,
   "volume": 115418.77,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Steve Witkoff",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.6345,
   "volume": 68992.45,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Abbas Araghchi",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": 0.6595,
   "volume": 45617.98,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Steve Witkoff",
   "probability": 0.49,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 11844.45,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jared Kushner",
   "probability": 0.475,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 10557.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Abbas Araghchi",
   "probability": 0.45,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 14510.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani",
   "probability": 0.37,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": 10749.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Rafael Grossi",
   "probability": 0.32,
   "change_24h": 0.19,
   "volume": 57970.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Majid Takht-Ravanchi",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": 0.07,
   "volume": 32465.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 126580.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kazem Gharibabadi",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 33098.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nick Stewart",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 29745.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ishaq Dar",
   "probability": 0.205,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 48965.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "J.D. Vance",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 80510.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 63011.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Masoud Pezeshkian",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 70767.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Marco Rubio",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 44647.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mohammed bin Salman",
   "probability": 0.0745,
   "change_24h": 0.0355,
   "volume": 30486.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Newt Gingrich",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": -0.037,
   "volume": 3474.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Donald Trump",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": 0.0105,
   "volume": 52498.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Pete Hegseth",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 24690.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ahmad Vahidi",
   "probability": 0.0355,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 25077.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Esmail Qaani",
   "probability": 0.0315,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 19285.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Palmer Luckey",
   "probability": 0.0315,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2968.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Elon Musk",
   "probability": 0.028,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 5913.63,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mojtaba Khamenei",
   "probability": 0.023,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 31738.17,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Steve Witkoff": [
   [
    1790899219,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791291501,
    0.485
   ]
  ],
  "Jared Kushner": [
   [
    1790899217,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790985620,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1791028817,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791291500,
    0.465
   ]
  ],
  "Abbas Araghchi": [
   [
    1790899218,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1791291500,
    0.445
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
