{
 "slug": "which-senate-races-will-be-within-5",
 "title": "Which Senate races will be within 5%?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 88618.4,
 "volume_24h": 1167.99,
 "liquidity": 354967.18,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Texas",
   "probability": 0.755,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 12008.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Iowa",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume": 7356.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kansas",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 2260.37,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nebraska",
   "probability": 0.63,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 4853.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ohio (Special)",
   "probability": 0.615,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 6666.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Maine",
   "probability": 0.595,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1903.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Michigan",
   "probability": 0.55,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3746.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alaska",
   "probability": 0.55,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 3709.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "South Carolina",
   "probability": 0.47,
   "change_24h": -0.215,
   "volume": 315.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Florida (Special)",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume": 5321.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "New Hampshire",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2930.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "North Carolina",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 7247.65,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Minnesota",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 11249.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Georgia",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume": 3799.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Montana",
   "probability": 0.1295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3350.07,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "New Mexico",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 7179.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Virginia",
   "probability": 0.0685,
   "change_24h": -0.037,
   "volume": 2095.67,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Colorado",
   "probability": 0.0315,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 2625.05,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Texas": [
   [
    1788739236,
    0.785
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.805
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.795
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.84
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.83
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.825
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.8
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.765
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790467223,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.755
   ],
   [
    1791291797,
    0.755
   ]
  ],
  "Iowa": [
   [
    1788739234,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.71
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.72
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.705
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1791291796,
    0.655
   ]
  ],
  "Kansas": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.69
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.75
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.73
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.685
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.675
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1791291795,
    0.65
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}