{
 "slug": "which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026",
 "title": "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026",
 "category": "culture",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 2323142.05,
 "volume_24h": 2565.24,
 "liquidity": 132177.57,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Spider-Man: Brand New Day",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 256601.88,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Avengers: Doomsday",
   "probability": 0.355,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 421946.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dune: Messiah",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 168184.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 74839.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Michael",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 601009.1,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "The Odyssey",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 229613.57,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Toy Story 5",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 220011.23,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Wuthering Heights",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume": 122856.18,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Project Hail Mary",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 91481.22,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Scream 7",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 67647.55,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 47227.35,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 21723.42,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Spider-Man: Brand New Day": [
   [
    1788739231,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789214419,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.655
   ],
   [
    1791291500,
    0.655
   ]
  ],
  "Avengers: Doomsday": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789560024,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791291502,
    0.355
   ]
  ],
  "Dune: Messiah": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790294416,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1791291499,
    0.0005
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}