{
 "slug": "which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921",
 "title": "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-06T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 400555.03,
 "volume_24h": 467.11,
 "liquidity": 106980.35,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Indonesia",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 19808.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Canada",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 24123.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mexico",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3337.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Vietnam",
   "probability": 0.1195,
   "change_24h": -0.0205,
   "volume": 10228.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "India",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 71121.65,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Australia",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 6299.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Israel",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 692.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "United Kingdom",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 648.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "South Korea",
   "probability": 0.0955,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 60875.31,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Pakistan",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 105706.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Taiwan",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 35214.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Japan",
   "probability": 0.0945,
   "change_24h": 0.013,
   "volume": 18114.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Russia",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2448.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "South Africa",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 614.35,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Argentina",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 22922.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "European Union",
   "probability": 0.059,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 13479.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Brazil",
   "probability": 0.059,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 4919.32,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Indonesia": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791292101,
    0.13
   ]
  ],
  "Canada": [
   [
    1788739227,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788998416,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789084816,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789128017,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789171216,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789214416,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789732817,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789776017,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789819217,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790294418,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790553629,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790683217,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790726417,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790812818,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790856016,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790899216,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791028816,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791115218,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791158419,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201618,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791292099,
    0.125
   ]
  ],
  "Mexico": [
   [
    1788739233,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790294424,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791292101,
    0.125
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}